NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	7.5 [315]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +17.6%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	2.6 [444]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -18.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.04	0.08	-0.06	7	65%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.07
John Stockton	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	6	82%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
John Starks	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	8	78%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	18	60%	0.10	3	-0.09	22	77%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	6	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.00	14	71%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.04	5	83%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	16	56%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	46%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.09	0.03	13	71%	0.06	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	9	32%	-0.09	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.5	16.3	32.4	2.7	36.3	140.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.2%

UTA +11.7%

UTA +12.2%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.6	15.5	120.4	114.0	100.9
season	16.0	15.2		105.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.2	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	13.7	13.1	16.0	14.3
DAL	20.1	16.3	14.0	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	72	72	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-7	20	13.9	15.7	-1.74	16.7	16.4	0.28
John Starks	63	62	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-2	10	14.1	14.9	-0.80	16.6	16.6	0.00
John Stockton	64	65	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-8	22	13.2	16.8	-3.54	17.6	14.5	3.07
Karl Malone	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	4	-2	14.9	10.9	3.95	16.7	16.2	0.51
Olden Polynice	44	45	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-3	12	14.2	14.4	-0.22	17.5	15.9	1.59
Quincy Lewis	37	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.24	2	4	-2	15.1	13.8	1.30	17.2	16.3	0.94
Greg Ostertag	16	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	12.9	14.6	-1.75	16.4	16.7	-0.36
Danny Manning	31	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	8	-10	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.8	17.0	-1.25
Donyell Marshall	23	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	12	-18	14.8	14.2	0.67	15.1	17.2	-2.07
Jacque Vaughn	35	36	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.07	-10	16	-26	15.9	13.3	2.60	14.9	17.7	-2.82

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	47	45	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.08	10	-16	26	15.6	17.7	-2.12	15.2	13.5	1.70
Courtney Alexander	11	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-8	10	12.1	17.3	-5.17	10.4	14.8	-4.40
Christian Laettner	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-6	6	16.1	16.7	-0.59	13.4	14.5	-1.05
Howard Eisley	40	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-11	16	16.1	17.0	-0.91	15.6	13.4	2.27
Loy Vaught	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-9	12	18.0	16.3	1.69	15.9	13.9	2.01
Eduardo Najera	54	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	3	-12	16.7	16.6	0.10	14.5	14.1	0.45
Shawn Bradley	51	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	8	-22	17.2	16.0	1.26	14.4	14.2	0.13
Michael Finley	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	16.8	12.2	4.59	13.8	25.7	-11.94
Steve Nash	71	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	3	-12	17.3	14.4	2.93	14.1	15.0	-0.96
Dirk Nowitzki	67	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.42	-12	6	-18	16.7	16.6	0.09	14.0	15.1	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 111, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.19,0.04,0.06,0.02,0	92.1%
HOU 121, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.07,0,0	91.4%
NJN 91, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.1%