inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 94 Excitement7.2 [393] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +36.2%
Indiana Pacers 85 Comeback1.9 [423] LVPCaron Butler (WAS): -20.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0.360,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.360.200.190.031874%0.453-0.081486%0.04
Antonio Daniels0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.120.020.08-0.02850%0.1200.004100%0.04
Jared Jeffries0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.00747%0.0700.00560%-0.01
Andray Blatche0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Awvee Storey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Calvin Booth-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00829%-0.0500.001100%0.01
Antawn Jamison-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00330%-0.042-0.07425%-0.06
Caron Butler-0.200,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.21,-0.2,-0.20.00-0.150.052052%-0.133-0.07667%-0.03

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.060.120.031256%0.1600.001100%0.02
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.000.00671%0.0800.002100%0.01
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.060.06-0.020.04-0.03675%0.194-0.1300%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.040.00657%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.01545%-0.011-0.031100%0.00
Danny Granger0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.060.00550%0.012-0.1000%0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.050.00437%0.013-0.1300%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.03-0.15-0.001651%0.074-0.24786%0.03
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.060.001534%-0.073-0.11250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.325.316.429.50.734.0133.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND -9.3%
WAS +4.0%
WAS +12.9%
WAS +41.9%
WAS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASINDNBAWASINDNBA
this game15.917.015.6108.096.6104.4
season15.116.0107.4102.3
opponent15.515.6100.8105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.416.715.215.515.9
IND18.618.416.115.117.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries55570.63-0.130.760.2513-41715.317.0-1.7617.416.31.13
Brendan Haywood38360.55-0.050.590.1713-41715.816.0-0.2816.217.5-1.30
Caron Butler74750.51-0.010.520.2781715.717.2-1.4517.116.20.98
Gilbert Arenas79820.460.040.420.2090915.915.90.0517.313.24.10
Antonio Daniels57560.400.100.290.1972516.115.50.6416.418.0-1.64
Andray Blatche990.120.38-0.26-0.0354119.015.63.4416.417.1-0.61
Calvin Booth16180.100.40-0.310.0427-515.316.1-0.7417.416.90.57
Antawn Jamison23220.000.50-0.490.03-110-1117.915.22.7118.316.61.71
Michael Ruffin4347-0.030.53-0.560.03-211-1315.116.7-1.5917.216.80.44
Etan Thomas3129-0.040.54-0.590.04-312-1516.615.51.0816.617.2-0.65
Donell Taylor65-0.060.56-0.610.00-211-1316.815.90.9813.417.2-3.80
Awvee Storey44-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-413-1713.016.1-3.0615.517.1-1.56

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Foster39400.19-0.690.88-0.017-162317.616.51.1715.416.3-0.87
David Harrison2423-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-9917.216.90.3616.315.80.46
Sarunas Jasikevicius4647-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-6315.818.3-2.5715.716.1-0.43
Stephen Jackson6970-0.12-0.380.26-0.296-152117.216.11.1315.915.80.12
Austin Croshere4244-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-5116.117.8-1.7115.416.5-1.12
Danny Granger4845-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-112-1317.516.41.0816.215.60.67
Anthony Johnson4240-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.22-6-3-318.315.82.5716.115.70.43
Fred Jones5959-0.530.03-0.57-0.15-134-1716.318.4-2.0715.616.5-0.86
Jermaine O'Neal7167-0.790.29-1.08-0.17-2112-3317.116.60.4216.414.12.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.05,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 121, GSW 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.07,0,092.3%
MIL 99, CHA 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.31,0.37,0.09,0.02,091.8%
DAL 96, LAC 900.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.23,0.04,0.02,091.8%