NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	6.9 [464]		MVP	Reggie Williams (GSW): +37.1%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	3.3 [513]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -13.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	16	58%	0.11	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	19	64%	0.15	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	8	81%	0.16	5	-0.18	5	60%	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	2	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Kevin Love	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	18	34%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	9	23%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.20	0.01	13	76%	0.38	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	24	62%	0.26	5	-0.14	7	71%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.04	-0.07	14	39%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	6	44%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.06	4	82%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	32.5	15.4	23.5	2.6	36.4	138.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +51.5%

MIN -0.1%

GSW +1.0%

MIN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	15.8	15.5	101.0	111.3	105.7
season	14.3	14.8		102.7	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	12.1	13.6	15.0	13.8
GSW	16.5	13.2	17.7	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	12	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-10	11	11.6	14.1	-2.47	16.3	15.7	0.57
Jonny Flynn	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	13.3	14.0	-0.66	15.8	15.8	0.05
Michael Beasley	70	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	13.7	14.0	-0.34	16.4	14.0	2.36
Wesley Johnson	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-4	-1	13.9	13.7	0.21	15.8	15.8	0.10
Martell Webster	57	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	13.1	14.7	-1.68	14.9	16.9	-1.92
Corey Brewer	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-7	5	13.4	14.4	-1.00	15.7	15.9	-0.12
Luke Ridnour	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	0	-9	14.0	13.3	0.66	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Kevin Love	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-5	1	14.3	9.3	5.05	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Darko Milicic	66	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.18	-16	7	-23	14.4	12.4	1.96	15.7	15.9	-0.18

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	55	55	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.07	21	-12	33	14.8	17.1	-2.38	13.8	13.7	0.10
Andris Biedrins	61	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-5	19	15.8	15.7	0.07	14.7	12.0	2.69
Reggie Williams	78	81	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-2	13	16.0	14.8	1.25	13.8	13.7	0.06
Monta Ellis	97	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.8	0.0	15.79	13.8	0.0	13.76
Acie Law	43	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	4	1	16.0	15.6	0.41	13.8	13.7	0.13
Dorell Wright	61	63	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	10	-11	16.0	15.4	0.64	13.6	14.1	-0.56
Dan Gadzuric	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	4	1	13.0	16.0	-2.98	9.8	14.0	-4.18
Vladimir Radmanovic	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	7	-5	13.2	16.3	-3.07	13.2	13.8	-0.63
David Lee	60	60	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.25	-13	22	-35	17.1	13.7	3.42	13.6	14.0	-0.44
Ekpe Udoh	9	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	17	-25	14.6	15.9	-1.36	12.3	13.9	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.3%
BOS 104, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,1,1	93.1%
GSW 102, SEA 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.8%