NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	83		Excitement	6.0 [616]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +21.2%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	2.6 [374]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -29.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.01	16	73%	0.27	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	13	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Luol Deng	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.26	-0.06	-0.02	17	21%	-0.21	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.08	-0.03	7	43%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.02	22	63%	0.30	8	-0.21	10	40%	-0.05
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	90%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	3.0	31.6	15.0	25.3	2.4	30.5	130.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +54.3%

UTA +1.4%

MIA -10.6%

UTA +6.9%

MIA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	14.9	93.3	110.1	105.1
season	15.5	16.3		104.5	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.3	17.0	16.5	15.6	16.1
UTA	17.4	14.3	16.2	17.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-11	7	17.8	15.9	1.96	14.5	16.5	-2.02
Luol Deng	63	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-9	3	15.1	18.5	-3.40	16.1	16.5	-0.39
Goran Dragic	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-9	3	15.5	16.9	-1.37	16.9	15.3	1.54
Justise Winslow	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-12	9	17.2	15.4	1.73	17.0	15.7	1.35
Hassan Whiteside	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-10	5	16.7	15.2	1.55	16.5	15.8	0.74
Beno Udrih	38	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	16.9	15.5	1.37	15.3	16.9	-1.54
Chris Bosh	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	0	-15	16.1	16.4	-0.32	15.4	18.6	-3.20
Dwyane Wade	60	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-1	-13	16.0	16.3	-0.26	16.4	15.8	0.59
Gerald Green	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	-2	-11	15.9	16.8	-0.92	16.6	15.3	1.28

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	61	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.01	22	-7	29	15.6	17.6	-1.96	15.7	16.9	-1.18
Trey Lyles	62	60	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.00	17	-2	19	15.8	17.3	-1.49	16.1	16.1	0.05
Raul Neto	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	1	13	15.9	17.1	-1.20	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Gordon Hayward	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	8	-1	15.8	17.9	-2.16	15.5	18.6	-3.03
Jeff Withey	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	10	-5	17.4	15.5	1.97	16.6	15.8	0.78
Rudy Gobert	55	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	5	5	15.5	17.4	-1.97	15.8	16.6	-0.78
Joe Ingles	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	11	-7	17.5	15.2	2.32	17.1	15.3	1.88
Trevor Booker	27	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	17.3	15.8	1.49	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Trey Burke	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	17	-19	17.5	15.5	1.94	17.6	15.2	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 89, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIN 99, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%
WAS 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%