inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 125 Excitement8.1 [225] MVPAmar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +48.3%
New York Knicks 129 Comeback1.3 [803] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -11.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.290.160.120.00786%0.2900.00786%-0.00
Nene0.250,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.150.120.021372%0.271-0.021080%0.02
Al Harrington0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.030.00895%0.232-0.064100%0.02
Arron Afflalo0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.06-0.01850%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Gary Forbes0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.020.00375%0.0700.002100%0.01
Melvin Ely0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,0.02,0.02-0.110.11-0.01725%0.112-0.08250%-0.00
Shelden Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01835%-0.0500.00450%-0.02
Carmelo Anthony-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11-0.02-0.080.022749%0.094-0.209100%0.05

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.48,0.480.480.100.34-0.042360%0.532-0.054100%0.02
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.470.470.210.280.031775%0.4700.002100%0.01
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.04-0.00668%0.1400.007100%0.04
Landry Fields0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.020.021178%0.161-0.021100%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.021155%0.0300.00786%0.02
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.010.00475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.010.010.02-0.00-0.001554%0.072-0.05580%0.03
Henry Walker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.732.516.824.82.038.2143.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +37.5%
DEN -13.0%
DEN -4.6%
NYK +28.5%
NYK +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNYKNBADENNYKNBA
this game15.314.615.5128.9134.4105.7
season14.314.3110.7108.6
opponent15.515.5108.4106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.112.717.415.315.3
NYK13.914.513.916.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Forbes24240.15-0.650.80-0.036-101614.515.5-1.0315.714.21.53
Melvin Ely76-0.05-0.450.410.04-3-1-211.315.6-4.3014.714.60.11
Al Harrington5455-0.09-0.410.31-0.152-6813.917.0-3.0114.614.50.05
Ty Lawson6159-0.13-0.370.25-0.368-122013.717.9-4.2014.914.10.83
J.R. Smith4444-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-4414.815.6-0.8015.513.81.69
Shelden Williams2726-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-106-1617.414.52.9513.415.0-1.56
Arron Afflalo6565-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-5616.313.23.1214.514.7-0.17
Chauncey Billups5556-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-51-616.014.31.6714.414.8-0.45
Nene7271-0.540.04-0.59-0.28-95-1416.013.12.9614.414.9-0.48
Carmelo Anthony7674-0.660.16-0.83-0.37-106-1615.514.60.8414.116.2-2.10

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amar'e Stoudemire81810.87-0.371.240.4016-122814.515.1-0.6815.315.4-0.12
Raymond Felton89900.58-0.080.660.377-31014.416.7-2.3215.511.93.69
Wilson Chandler71710.57-0.070.640.406-2814.714.20.4916.412.24.22
Landry Fields87890.470.030.430.3831214.415.7-1.2215.314.50.85
Danilo Gallinari66670.250.250.010.2504-414.514.7-0.1515.415.00.45
Toney Douglas42410.200.30-0.100.1422015.114.20.9014.415.9-1.54
Henry Walker540.030.47-0.44-0.0322020.014.35.7415.015.3-0.29
Shawne Williams67-0.030.53-0.570.05-37-1015.214.50.6413.915.4-1.53
Ronny Turiaf3335-0.430.93-1.36-0.05-1317-3013.815.0-1.1313.316.4-3.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.47,0.53,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 100, CHI 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.71,0.55,0.76,0.85,0.67,0.91,191.5%
LAC 95, SAC 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.98,191.4%
GSW 72, NJN 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,191.4%