NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	3.9 [1078]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +13.2%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	1.2 [433]		LVP	Earl Barron (PHX): -10.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.03	-0.03	16	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
Brandon Roy	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.03	-0.05	19	59%	0.16	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	67%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	7	89%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Rudy Fernandez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	10%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	11	61%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	19	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.2	15.8	27.0	1.6	35.6	136.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.7%

PHX -1.8%

PHX -3.0%

POR +4.1%

POR +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	109.8	102.2	105.7
season	16.5	14.5		106.7	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		109.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	16.4	17.0	19.3	16.8
PHX	14.2	15.6	15.7	12.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	79	79	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-4	15	16.4	18.9	-2.49	14.4	15.4	-1.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	85	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-5	17	16.6	19.6	-3.02	14.4	15.7	-1.22
Andre Miller	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-3	13	16.9	16.5	0.38	15.0	13.2	1.76
Wesley Matthews	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	0	7	16.9	16.4	0.49	14.7	13.5	1.24
Marcus Camby	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-2	11	16.6	17.1	-0.46	14.9	13.7	1.16
Nicolas Batum	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.23	-6	13	-19	18.0	16.0	1.99	13.6	15.1	-1.46
Rudy Fernandez	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	7	-7	17.1	16.7	0.46	14.0	14.7	-0.65
Patty Mills	11	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	14.9	17.0	-2.13	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Dante Cunningham	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	13	-19	17.5	16.6	0.90	14.3	14.6	-0.28

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	34	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-9	11	15.4	14.0	1.32	16.8	16.8	0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-17	27	14.4	14.6	-0.22	17.3	16.4	0.88
Josh Childress	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-6	5	15.3	14.4	0.97	17.9	16.5	1.40
Goran Dragic	43	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	15.7	13.5	2.12	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Earl Barron	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	2	-11	15.4	14.2	1.20	15.9	17.2	-1.32
Hakim Warrick	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.0	13.8	1.17	16.7	16.9	-0.24
Steve Nash	64	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-4	1	14.2	15.2	-0.94	17.1	16.0	1.04
Jason Richardson	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	13.4	16.2	-2.83	16.9	16.6	0.27
Grant Hill	58	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	2	-11	14.0	15.4	-1.32	16.8	16.8	-0.05
Channing Frye	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	3	-13	14.2	15.6	-1.41	16.3	18.1	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 95, DAL 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
IND 83, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
HOU 117, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%