NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	3.9 [1003]		MVP	Brad Miller (IND): +10.0%
New Orleans Hornets	72		Comeback	1.3 [638]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -16.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.04	14	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Ron Mercer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	6	45%	-0.02	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	-0.07	14	42%	-0.00	7	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	16	32%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	22	38%	-0.04	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	13	37%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-0.04	13	34%	-0.12	2	-0.05	12	58%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	31.2	14.8	25.0	2.5	38.5	137.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

IND +16.4%

NOH -6.1%

IND +6.7%

NOH -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.5	86.5	77.4	101.6
season	15.4	15.9		102.2	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	14.8	16.1	16.6	15.4
NOH	15.2	18.0	13.9	13.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	79	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-6	23	15.2	16.2	-0.99	14.5	17.6	-3.17
Brad Miller	85	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-5	21	15.0	19.0	-4.05	14.4	19.3	-4.91
Metta World Peace	81	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	2	7	15.2	16.4	-1.17	14.5	18.0	-3.47
Jermaine O'Neal	58	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	7	-3	16.4	13.9	2.43	15.8	13.9	1.84
Ron Mercer	35	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	15.7	15.2	0.51	16.8	13.9	2.90
Jamaal Tinsley	71	68	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	9	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.41	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Al Harrington	53	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	7	-3	15.5	15.4	0.08	15.2	14.8	0.40
Erick Strickland	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	11	-11	15.9	15.3	0.57	19.1	14.5	4.63
Jeff Foster	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	12	-13	14.8	15.5	-0.65	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Fred Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	19.0	15.4	3.62	7.0	15.1	-8.14

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-15	19	16.7	14.5	2.22	17.9	14.6	3.33
Robert Pack	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-9	7	20.9	14.3	6.55	12.5	15.8	-3.35
Robert Traylor	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-14	17	14.2	15.2	-1.05	19.7	14.6	5.12
Elden Campbell	13	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-8	5	19.2	14.4	4.77	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Courtney Alexander	42	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-15	19	15.3	14.9	0.42	15.6	15.3	0.38
Stacey Augmon	9	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-5	-1	17.1	14.8	2.28	14.5	15.5	-1.02
George Lynch	47	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	14.5	15.6	-1.06	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Jamaal Magloire	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	14.5	17.2	-2.73	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Jamal Mashburn	79	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	3	-17	15.0	15.6	-0.61	15.3	16.3	-1.03
David Wesley	83	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	-1	-9	14.4	20.2	-5.77	15.6	13.7	1.91
P.J. Brown	68	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	4	-19	14.5	16.7	-2.22	14.6	17.9	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, CLE 75	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
PHI 116, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	96.0%
MIA 105, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%