NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	3.7 [1041]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +10.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Comeback	1.2 [1079]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -14.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	10	68%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.02	-0.07	11	56%	0.08	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	23	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	7	76%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	10	20%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	10	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	9	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	15	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	20	41%	-0.06	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	29.2	15.7	22.5	1.7	25.7	118.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.4%

DET +3.9%

CLE -4.2%

DET +15.8%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.5	100.0	83.3	101.6
season	16.8	15.1		101.7	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.6		104.3	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.9	15.8	16.2	18.4	16.5
CLE	15.4	15.5	17.3	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	57	60	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-8	31	17.0	15.7	1.32	16.5	13.5	3.00
Richard Hamilton	55	55	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-3	21	15.6	17.9	-2.31	16.3	14.2	2.07
Chauncey Billups	47	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-5	25	16.3	16.8	-0.54	16.4	14.4	1.99
Ben Wallace	70	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	0	15	16.2	17.8	-1.69	16.0	13.8	2.24
Corliss Williamson	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	3	9	16.3	16.8	-0.54	16.0	14.8	1.23
Michael Curry	35	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	8	-1	17.1	16.2	0.90	16.1	15.1	0.95
Mehmet Okur	45	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	19	-23	16.7	16.4	0.27	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Chucky Atkins	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	20	-25	16.8	16.3	0.54	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Danny Manning	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	15.6	16.6	-1.00	9.5	16.0	-6.55
Tayshaun Prince	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	15.6	16.6	-1.00	9.5	16.0	-6.55
Jon Barry	35	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	18	-21	17.9	15.6	2.31	14.2	16.3	-2.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	10.3	15.9	-5.62	16.1	16.6	-0.42
DeSagana Diop	30	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-11	7	15.7	15.3	0.35	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Dajuan Wagner	42	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-11	7	14.4	16.4	-2.08	16.9	16.2	0.75
Milt Palacio	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-17	19	14.9	16.2	-1.31	17.1	15.8	1.29
Jumaine Jones	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-8	1	15.2	15.7	-0.55	17.0	16.2	0.78
Carlos Boozer	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-9	3	15.9	14.9	1.04	16.9	16.1	0.83
Chris Mihm	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	14.9	15.9	-1.04	16.1	16.9	-0.83
Bimbo Coles	20	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-8	1	19.0	14.5	4.54	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Darius Miles	58	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-7	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.68	16.5	16.5	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	16.7	14.2	2.47	16.6	16.5	0.11
Ricky Davis	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	6	-27	15.5	15.2	0.34	15.9	18.8	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
PHI 116, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	95.7%