NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	6.2 [598]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): +18.2%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.5 [1160]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): -24.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	16	63%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0,0	0.07	-0.05	0.01	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.04
Johan Petro	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Terrence Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	17	47%	0.03	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.06	-0.01	12	12%	-0.20	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.04	0.04	13	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.05
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	15	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	14	47%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	15	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.7	27.3	16.4	26.3	2.0	38.2	140.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.0%

UTA +13.6%

NJN -14.3%

UTA +21.1%

NJN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.5	93.6	105.4	105.7
season	16.4	15.9		101.6	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		108.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.8	18.2	15.0	14.2	16.0
UTA	13.2	13.9	15.0	17.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-7	4	17.5	15.8	1.73	10.9	15.4	-4.51
Stephen Graham	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-10	10	17.7	15.5	2.20	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Derrick Favors	48	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-13	16	16.5	15.5	1.00	15.1	14.6	0.49
Terrence Williams	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-3	-4	17.5	15.8	1.73	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Jordan Farmar	37	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-6	2	15.2	16.5	-1.28	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Anthony Morrow	70	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-5	0	15.9	16.4	-0.52	15.2	13.6	1.60
Devin Harris	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	15.9	16.1	-0.22	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Kris Humphries	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	1	-12	15.5	16.8	-1.32	15.3	14.0	1.34
Brook Lopez	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	16.3	15.3	0.97	15.0	14.2	0.83
Travis Outlaw	76	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	0	-10	15.4	18.5	-3.11	15.0	14.0	1.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-5	20	15.0	14.1	0.95	15.8	16.8	-1.07
Paul Millsap	81	82	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	2	6	15.0	13.8	1.12	16.1	15.5	0.56
Deron Williams	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	2	6	14.8	14.8	-0.02	15.7	17.0	-1.34
Al Jefferson	67	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	6	-2	15.1	14.0	1.07	15.5	17.3	-1.76
Raja Bell	69	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.19	3	7	-4	14.6	15.4	-0.82	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Ronnie Price	24	23	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	3	4	15.4	14.6	0.82	17.1	15.6	1.51
Francisco Elson	26	25	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	4	2	14.0	15.1	-1.07	17.3	15.5	1.76
Earl Watson	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	8	-6	14.8	14.8	0.02	17.0	15.7	1.34
Gordon Hayward	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	15.9	14.6	1.24	15.4	16.1	-0.74
CJ Miles	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	12.4	15.3	-2.93	17.1	15.7	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	94.9%
PHI 90, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 118, SAC 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	94.5%