NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	5.3 [774]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +23.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	1.8 [480]		LVP	Jawad Williams (CLE): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.21	0.05	0.02	21	76%	0.30	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.02	14	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	16	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	17	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	8	17%	-0.09	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	27.3	15.7	26.4	2.6	28.2	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.8%

IND +4.2%

CLE -2.4%

IND +5.5%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.5	105.3	91.4	105.7
season	14.7	15.1		103.1	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.4		110.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	13.9	13.7	20.8	15.3
CLE	15.1	15.5	16.3	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	75	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.01	21	-7	28	15.3	15.3	0.00	15.3	16.4	-1.04
Roy Hibbert	51	53	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-1	16	15.8	14.7	1.09	16.9	13.7	3.27
Josh McRoberts	51	50	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	1	12	17.2	13.0	4.26	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Mike Dunleavy	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	16.5	11.9	4.62	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Darren Collison	47	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	2	10	15.6	15.0	0.57	14.8	16.3	-1.45
James Posey	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	5	4	16.0	14.6	1.42	13.9	16.9	-3.03
T.J. Ford	47	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	12	-10	15.0	15.6	-0.57	16.3	14.8	1.45
Brandon Rush	45	44	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	18	-22	13.3	17.0	-3.71	16.0	15.1	0.96
Solomon Jones	27	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	16	-18	11.4	16.8	-5.36	15.3	15.6	-0.37
Tyler Hansbrough	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	21	-28	11.6	16.0	-4.36	16.6	15.4	1.22

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	44	43	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-20	26	15.2	15.8	-0.59	13.5	16.8	-3.28
Antawn Jamison	51	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-18	22	14.8	16.4	-1.54	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Manny Harris	15	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-12	10	14.5	15.7	-1.28	11.9	16.0	-4.13
Jamario Moon	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-11	8	15.4	15.7	-0.35	15.4	15.2	0.17
Daniel Gibson	54	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-15	16	14.7	16.7	-1.99	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Ramon Sessions	68	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-5	-4	15.5	15.8	-0.30	16.2	12.8	3.45
Jawad Williams	35	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-9	4	16.9	14.7	2.25	13.3	16.6	-3.29
Ryan Hollins	34	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-2	-10	16.5	15.0	1.47	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Anthony Parker	62	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.03	-23	9	-32	16.0	14.7	1.24	17.0	12.1	4.94
JJ Hickson	57	58	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.10	-27	13	-40	15.8	15.1	0.79	16.8	12.9	3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
DEN 91, NOK 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.9%
MIL 96, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%