NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	8.2 [208]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): +32.4%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.8 [665]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -25.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	7	86%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	6	78%	0.18	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Jameer Nelson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.15	0.01	15	41%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.21
Vince Carter	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.09,0.07	-0.06	0.12	-0.01	10	50%	0.18	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.05
Jason Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	10	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.18	0.16	0.01	12	83%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.14	0.03	17	57%	0.21	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.11
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.26	-0.26	0.06	-0.29	0.03	16	63%	-0.12	4	-0.13	9	78%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	27.0	15.4	30.0	2.0	41.2	140.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.5%

NJN -17.0%

ORL +26.5%

ORL +3.2%

ORL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	17.6	15.5	107.1	104.7	105.7
season	15.2	16.4		106.3	101.6
opponent	15.3	16.2		108.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.8	19.8	16.1	16.1	16.1
NJN	19.3	15.5	18.2	17.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	42	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.64	-6	7	-13	17.5	14.7	2.73	16.4	18.9	-2.54
Vince Carter	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-3	7	14.4	19.6	-5.16	17.9	16.9	1.10
Dwight Howard	48	50	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	14.7	17.9	-3.23	17.9	17.2	0.71
Rashard Lewis	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	2	-3	15.0	17.8	-2.84	18.1	16.7	1.35
Jameer Nelson	48	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	0	1	15.8	16.5	-0.69	17.7	17.5	0.24
Chris Duhon	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	-3	7	17.7	15.4	2.28	16.8	17.9	-1.07
Brandon Bass	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	-3	7	17.4	15.0	2.36	17.4	17.8	-0.42
Jason Williams	11	9	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	0	1	15.6	16.1	-0.50	19.1	17.4	1.68
Marcin Gortat	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	-2	5	17.9	14.7	3.23	17.2	17.9	-0.71
Quentin Richardson	40	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	1	-1	14.3	17.6	-3.34	18.6	16.9	1.74
JJ Redick	27	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	4	-7	19.6	14.4	5.16	16.9	17.9	-1.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	33	34	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.08	12	-13	25	18.1	17.3	0.74	14.0	17.5	-3.45
Troy Murphy	16	15	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-13	25	16.2	17.9	-1.66	16.4	16.0	0.40
Johan Petro	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	5	-11	14.7	17.9	-3.28	19.6	15.7	3.90
Derrick Favors	22	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	3	-7	16.7	17.9	-1.24	16.7	15.8	0.83
Anthony Morrow	67	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.44	9	-10	19	17.7	17.2	0.51	15.4	18.3	-2.82
Kris Humphries	49	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	10	-21	18.6	16.3	2.29	15.8	16.4	-0.63
Travis Outlaw	82	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-2	3	17.7	16.0	1.68	15.8	22.2	-6.48
Devin Harris	63	62	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	9	-19	17.3	18.3	-0.96	16.8	14.1	2.66
Brook Lopez	74	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.72	2	-3	5	18.1	14.7	3.32	16.0	16.7	-0.79
Quinton Ross	15	15	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.47	-10	9	-19	15.8	18.0	-2.19	20.3	15.2	5.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 97, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.48,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,0	92.3%
NJN 83, CHA 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	91.4%
GSW 102, NOP 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.39,0.16,0.23,0.17,0	91.1%