NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	9.1 [108]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +54.3%
Miami Heat	114		Comeback	665.7 [2]		LVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): -18.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.54	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.54	0.31	0.33	0.10	28	73%	0.57	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.03
Francisco Elson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.34	0.00	0.34	-0.00	1	50%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.21,0.31	0.05	0.27	0.00	12	57%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Deron Williams	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	15	66%	0.21	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	14	40%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.53	0.53	0.19	0.36	0.02	23	63%	0.58	2	-0.05	16	75%	-0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.02	5	73%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.06	-0.02	13	53%	0.12	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.05
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.07	0.05	4	67%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	18	43%	-0.08	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	5	42%	-0.11	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.9	15.7	24.9	0.8	45.0	0.8	15.9	156.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.2%

UTA +26.2%

MIA -3.4%

MIA -21.4%

UTA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.5	114.9	109.6	105.7
season	15.9	16.0		106.4	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.3	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	16.7	16.0	15.2	14.2	17.2	15.7
MIA	14.7	16.0	18.2	14.0	12.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	36	36	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.67	6	-4	10	16.4	15.2	1.14	16.5	14.8	1.68
Andrei Kirilenko	75	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.58	0	2	-2	15.3	16.7	-1.35	15.9	13.8	2.07
Paul Millsap	85	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	0	2	15.6	15.9	-0.34	14.5	20.0	-5.53
CJ Miles	46	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	-9	20	15.7	15.7	-0.00	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Kyrylo Fesenko	39	37	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-9	20	15.2	16.0	-0.77	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Francisco Elson	12	14	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.8	-1.12	14.4	15.5	-1.18
Raja Bell	51	54	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.35	-10	12	-22	15.5	15.9	-0.41	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Gordon Hayward	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.04	-1	3	-4	15.8	15.6	0.18	13.8	15.6	-1.74
Earl Watson	9	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	6	-10	14.7	15.7	-1.08	17.8	15.1	2.73
Deron Williams	81	82	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.39	4	-2	6	15.7	15.3	0.38	15.5	14.7	0.82
Al Jefferson	50	52	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.04	-10	12	-22	16.3	15.1	1.20	16.8	14.0	2.79

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	35	32	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.06	12	-14	26	15.9	15.1	0.81	15.8	15.6	0.23
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	32	32	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.14	-4	2	-6	16.5	14.9	1.62	15.8	15.6	0.23
Carlos Arroyo	58	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-7	12	15.8	14.9	0.87	15.8	15.5	0.26
Eddie House	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	5	-12	15.3	15.4	-0.07	15.5	15.7	-0.18
James Jones	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	3	-8	15.3	15.5	-0.19	16.1	15.2	0.93
LeBron James	93	90	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-6	10	15.1	17.7	-2.63	15.4	17.6	-2.23
Dwyane Wade	83	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-1	0	15.5	14.9	0.59	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Chris Bosh	80	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-1	0	15.6	14.5	1.14	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Udonis Haslem	61	61	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.41	-13	11	-24	14.1	17.1	-3.01	15.7	15.6	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.71,0.76,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 113, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.94,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	91.2%
NJN 129, TOR 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.46,0.46,0.81,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.41,0	89.1%
HOU 135, GSW 134	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.75,0.54,0.89,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.69,0.42,0	88.1%