NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	7.3 [372]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +19.0%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	3.0 [326]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -23.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19	0.10	0.09	0.01	10	70%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.12	0.01	10	65%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Ramon Sessions	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	11	54%	0.15	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
JJ Hickson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	14	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jawad Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jamario Moon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	9	45%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Mo Williams	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	12	8%	-0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.04	0.04	22	60%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.09	0.02	12	60%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Damion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	18	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.12	0.04	8	50%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.7	27.9	15.0	26.2	1.6	31.8	128.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +50.8%

NJN -18.3%

CLE +9.7%

CLE +7.2%

CLE +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	16.8	15.5	104.5	103.4	105.7
season	15.1	16.4		100.8	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	15.4	18.3	16.8	15.8
NJN	16.2	15.9	18.6	16.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	44	43	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-10	22	15.2	16.3	-1.08	16.6	16.9	-0.33
Antawn Jamison	53	53	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-10	22	14.7	17.4	-2.76	17.1	16.3	0.81
Daniel Gibson	54	53	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-10	22	14.9	17.2	-2.35	17.1	16.3	0.76
Jawad Williams	36	35	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-12	26	16.0	15.6	0.33	17.1	16.6	0.52
JJ Hickson	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	4	-6	17.6	13.9	3.65	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Anthony Parker	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.53	-11	13	-24	16.7	14.8	1.93	15.9	17.6	-1.74
Anderson Varejao	66	65	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	8	-14	16.1	14.8	1.28	16.4	18.0	-1.60
Ryan Hollins	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	2	-2	12.6	16.4	-3.72	18.4	16.5	1.88
Mo Williams	45	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	12	-22	16.3	15.2	1.08	16.9	16.6	0.33
Jamario Moon	44	45	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	13	-24	15.8	15.8	-0.01	17.0	16.5	0.51

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	34	33	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.05	11	-13	24	16.1	17.2	-1.07	17.9	14.5	3.44
Derrick Favors	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	17.1	16.6	0.44	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Troy Murphy	46	45	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	16.8	16.8	-0.02	16.6	15.0	1.62
Brook Lopez	77	77	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-11	20	16.7	17.3	-0.57	16.3	12.7	3.59
Damion James	9	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	4	-10	18.3	16.6	1.74	14.1	16.0	-1.85
Jordan Farmar	43	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-2	2	16.4	17.1	-0.69	14.4	17.2	-2.82
Devin Harris	50	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-5	8	16.7	16.9	-0.21	16.0	15.4	0.57
Travis Outlaw	77	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-6	10	16.5	18.8	-2.34	15.9	14.7	1.20
Kris Humphries	16	17	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	16	-34	18.0	16.5	1.50	12.6	16.5	-3.94
Anthony Morrow	59	59	-1.01	0.51	-1.51	-0.51	-17	15	-32	17.3	15.8	1.46	15.4	16.6	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.53,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.15,0.08,0	91.8%
MIA 100, MEM 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.02,0.02,0	91.5%
SEA 102, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.01,0	90.8%