inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 100 Excitement7.5 [407] MVPGarrett Temple (MEM): +26.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 97 Comeback2.9 [304] LVPMarc Gasol (MEM): -22.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.190.080.120.011065%0.1900.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.140.100.070.03978%0.202-0.06580%-0.03
Tyler Johnson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.040.011259%0.122-0.05560%-0.03
Josh Richardson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.06,0.040.010.01-0.021749%0.061-0.02367%0.00
James Johnson0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.01967%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02-0.00-0.020.002100%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rodney McGruder-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01747%0.032-0.063100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside-0.060,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00650%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.190,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.050.01822%-0.113-0.08250%-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.270.270.120.160.00971%0.2700.00367%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.170.170.120.080.031561%0.1700.006100%0.05
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00362%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Kyle Anderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.01380%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.040.01965%0.082-0.07560%-0.02
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02741%0.011-0.05367%-0.00
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
MarShon Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Wayne Selden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.02939%-0.052-0.0200%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.05-0.100.081641%-0.201-0.03250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.51.827.114.524.82.738.2136.6
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +58.0%
MEM -23.0%
MIA +30.3%
MEM -27.8%
MIA +12.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMEMNBAMIAMEMNBA
this game15.616.414.3108.7110.2109.3
season14.815.4106.3105.4
opponent14.214.3107.4106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.314.917.713.815.6
MEM15.617.217.415.616.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Jones Jr.46460.78-0.281.060.3714-112513.517.7-4.2016.216.7-0.56
Kelly Olynyk50490.74-0.240.980.3912-92114.017.5-3.4616.816.00.76
Josh Richardson71680.54-0.040.580.4821115.615.50.1016.217.1-0.94
Tyler Johnson61580.52-0.020.530.259-61514.318.1-3.8217.214.92.26
Bam Adebayo51480.460.040.430.325-2715.016.3-1.3016.516.40.08
Wayne Ellington1090.040.46-0.410.0403-316.115.50.5617.016.40.65
Hassan Whiteside41400.040.46-0.430.09-25-716.315.01.3016.416.5-0.08
Justise Winslow4544-0.120.62-0.730.09-710-1717.114.13.0115.417.4-2.02
James Johnson4239-0.240.74-0.980.03-912-2117.514.03.4616.016.8-0.76
Rodney McGruder4339-0.260.76-1.020.00-912-2117.913.64.3417.016.00.99

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Selden21210.00-0.500.510.09-30-317.916.01.9513.816.1-2.32
Jaren Jackson Jr.4143-0.08-0.420.35-0.256-91515.417.3-1.9716.714.62.07
Omri Casspi88-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-1-118.016.31.7415.915.60.30
Kyle Anderson2828-0.16-0.340.19-0.160-3315.716.8-1.0917.314.82.48
MarShon Brooks2929-0.17-0.330.160.10-96-1519.015.13.9014.816.0-1.18
Garrett Temple6570-0.17-0.330.15-0.449-122115.618.7-3.1416.313.42.88
Joakim Noah2223-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-63-918.215.82.3516.415.31.06
Marc Gasol6569-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.434-71116.217.1-0.9616.014.51.49
Mike Conley7071-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.525-81315.918.3-2.4015.316.5-1.14
JaMychal Green4547-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-96-1516.716.10.6413.917.4-3.48
Shelvin Mack4651-0.580.08-0.67-0.29-107-1716.316.5-0.2015.016.3-1.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.02,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 98, PHI 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.1,092.4%
PHI 104, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,091.9%
MIA 115, ATL 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.45,0.1,0.09,0.02,091.8%