inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 102 Excitement11.1 [22] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +41.8%
Boston Celtics 105 Comeback11.9 [173] LVPCarlos Delfino (MIL): -12.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.150.080.07-0.001065%0.171-0.033100%0.02
Keyon Dooling0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.01767%0.1000.0010%-0.02
Jon Brockman0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.010.04-0.06-0.011751%0.121-0.13771%-0.07
Drew Gooden-0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00550%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.01655%0.062-0.10887%0.04
Brandon Jennings-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06-0.070.01-0.001343%0.043-0.09475%0.03
John Salmons-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.000.011037%-0.052-0.04475%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.001547%0.155-0.272100%0.04

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.420.420.070.33-0.011762%0.544-0.1211100%0.17
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.090.090.010.090.01450%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.00964%0.132-0.074100%0.02
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00150%0.0100.00475%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,00.00-0.050.060.011538%0.051-0.05475%0.02
Semih Erden00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.001071%0.106-0.14475%-0.01
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.0020%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12-0.120.03-0.150.002053%-0.052-0.07367%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game31.03.032.018.825.82.842.21.521.0178.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL -4.0%
BOS +27.4%
MIL -6.3%
BOS +32.4%
BOS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILBOSNBAMILBOSNBA
this game16.515.415.5102.0106.1105.7
season16.215.7100.1104.8
opponent15.815.499.6100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL16.717.319.514.713.516.5
BOS13.318.717.414.113.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keyon Dooling34350.33-0.831.160.185-81317.116.20.9116.914.72.20
Luc Mbah a Moute17170.10-0.600.70-0.117-101717.116.40.6518.814.74.02
Drew Gooden3132-0.08-0.420.330.03-41-517.815.91.9115.815.30.56
Jon Brockman99-0.09-0.410.320.03-41-519.316.23.0911.615.8-4.27
Andrew Bogut9088-0.23-0.270.04-0.509-122116.417.5-1.0915.911.44.58
Ersan Ilyasova6865-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.619-122116.117.3-1.1715.415.5-0.10
John Salmons4950-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.03-118-1916.416.6-0.1814.416.5-2.09
Carlos Delfino9292-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.41-1-2116.319.1-2.8315.99.96.00
Corey Maggette4341-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.23-96-1516.516.50.0314.116.4-2.24
Brandon Jennings6766-0.890.39-1.28-0.42-1613-2916.017.6-1.6214.517.2-2.71

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce78800.92-0.421.350.4317-143114.319.7-5.3716.616.20.34
Kevin Garnett76740.70-0.200.910.4110-71714.219.3-5.1016.117.7-1.53
Rajon Rondo89890.68-0.180.860.3611-81914.820.7-5.8616.517.0-0.54
Ray Allen85850.59-0.090.670.329-61515.514.80.7616.118.8-2.68
Glen Davis62630.240.26-0.010.2112-115.914.61.3016.915.91.04
Jermaine O'Neal4345-0.050.55-0.610.09-58-1316.714.52.1518.415.03.34
Marquis Daniels3735-0.100.60-0.710.22-1114-2515.615.30.2615.816.9-1.11
Von Wafer55-0.130.63-0.760.08-710-1722.815.07.7616.616.50.08
Semih Erden911-0.160.66-0.820.04-710-1719.915.04.9017.016.50.54
Nate Robinson1113-0.190.69-0.88-0.10-36-920.614.85.8514.716.8-2.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.45,0.98,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 107, CLE 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.59,0.46,0.29,0.29,0.45,0.91,188.4%
HOU 109, MEM 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,187.9%
UTA 97, SAS 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.85,0.98,187.7%