NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	5.8 [684]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +17.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.7 [779]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -9.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.02	9	76%	0.22	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Al Horford	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	11	83%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	69%	0.18	6	-0.13	12	75%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	11	46%	0.10	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	13	92%	0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0	0.00	0.08	-0.05	0.02	19	61%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	31.3	16.4	29.4	2.5	41.1	150.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +61.0%

ATL +11.3%

ATL +8.5%

PHI -27.3%

PHI -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.5	109.5	107.4	105.7
season	16.5	15.5		104.0	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	13.5	16.4	19.4	15.9
PHI	15.8	17.8	14.2	10.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	64	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-4	11	16.2	15.4	0.80	13.6	16.5	-2.87
Josh Smith	56	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-8	19	15.1	17.0	-1.83	15.9	12.6	3.31
Joe Johnson	64	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	8	-13	16.3	15.0	1.38	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Zaza Pachulia	29	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-4	11	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.6	14.6	0.08
Marvin Williams	66	67	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	1	1	15.0	18.0	-3.03	14.4	15.0	-0.65
Al Horford	66	67	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	7	-11	15.6	16.5	-0.90	14.6	14.6	-0.08
Josh Powell	44	42	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	4	-5	16.0	15.8	0.28	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Jeff Teague	22	21	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	0	3	16.0	15.9	0.08	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Mike Bibby	64	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.26	-5	8	-13	16.7	14.3	2.38	15.2	13.3	1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	22	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-6	9	13.0	15.1	-2.11	16.4	15.8	0.64
Jason Kapono	17	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	14.9	14.5	0.45	14.7	16.1	-1.38
Marreese Speights	4	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	3	-9	13.2	14.6	-1.38	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Jrue Holiday	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-8	13	14.9	14.0	0.90	16.2	15.4	0.80
Thaddeus Young	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	0	-3	13.1	15.4	-2.28	17.5	15.0	2.55
Spencer Hawes	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	4	-11	17.7	12.2	5.51	14.5	17.0	-2.52
Evan Turner	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	3	-9	14.9	14.3	0.61	15.0	16.5	-1.49
Lou Williams	40	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	1	-5	13.0	15.7	-2.74	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Elton Brand	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	15.1	12.6	2.50	15.9	15.9	-0.07
Andre Iguodala	82	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	14.6	14.4	0.18	15.5	18.4	-2.89
Andres Nocioni	58	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	13.7	16.1	-2.40	17.1	13.9	3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
IND 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.3%
UTA 96, LAL 92	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0	94.2%