NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	5.3 [761]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): +17.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	1.3 [808]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -13.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	83%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	12	68%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	15	44%	0.00	7	-0.14	4	25%	-0.07

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	15	56%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	16	55%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	19	49%	0.03	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	9	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	25.5	15.3	25.5	2.5	42.4	139.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.1%

MIL -15.9%

IND +16.6%

MIL -3.6%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	13.7	14.9	105.1	102.1	105.1
season	14.6	14.8		103.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.9	16.2	16.1	14.6	15.6
MIL	13.4	17.3	13.9	11.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	3	-1	14.9	16.4	-1.50	13.7	13.8	-0.12
George Hill	70	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.27	2	3	-1	16.2	14.3	1.84	13.5	14.3	-0.89
Paul George	72	70	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	5	-5	15.0	17.3	-2.22	12.9	15.8	-2.90
Lavoy Allen	34	34	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-5	15	16.0	15.5	0.54	14.9	13.1	1.88
Monta Ellis	78	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	15.1	17.7	-2.62	13.2	15.8	-2.60
Rodney Stuckey	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-2	9	16.0	15.4	0.61	14.5	13.2	1.24
Jordan Hill	47	45	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	2	1	16.7	14.7	2.09	13.6	13.8	-0.23
Solomon Hill	15	14	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	1	3	13.1	16.1	-2.96	15.3	13.5	1.83
Chase Budinger	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	0	5	17.3	15.0	2.22	15.8	12.9	2.90
Myles Turner	64	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.32	-7	12	-19	15.7	15.6	0.12	13.4	14.4	-1.02

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad Vaughn	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	16.2	13.2	2.98	18.1	15.1	2.91
Greg Monroe	56	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-6	7	14.6	12.6	2.01	16.2	15.0	1.16
O.J. Mayo	66	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	0	-5	14.2	12.6	1.58	16.6	13.5	3.03
Miles Plumlee	41	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	1	-7	12.6	14.6	-2.01	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Jabari Parker	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	13.1	15.9	-2.81	15.1	17.7	-2.62
Khris Middleton	80	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-5	5	13.2	16.2	-2.98	15.1	18.1	-2.91
Jerryd Bayless	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	13.6	14.0	-0.46	15.4	16.1	-0.76
Giannis Antetokounmpo	83	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	14.0	12.2	1.76	15.6	15.9	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 107, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	94.6%
LAC 93, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.01,0	94.5%
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%