inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 83 Excitement1.9 [1293] MVPVince Carter (ORL): +9.6%
Orlando Magic 112 Comeback1.0 [1303] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -9.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cartier Martin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.120.000.09971%0.0200.006100%-0.00
Al Thornton0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00945%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Lester Hudson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.0920%0.0020.0010%0.00
Trevor Booker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03460%0.0000.002100%0.00
Hamady Ndiaye0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yi Jianlian-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.07633%0.002-0.01633%-0.01
Hilton Armstrong-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.03050%-0.002-0.01250%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.050.000.07963%-0.011-0.001100%0.00
JaVale McGee-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01650%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Nick Young-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00538%-0.0200.003100%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01930%-0.062-0.032100%0.00
John Wall-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.00-0.031934%-0.093-0.01367%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.140.000.041272%0.1000.0010%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.06884%0.062-0.02367%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02387%0.041-0.022100%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.031065%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.06962%0.033-0.021947%-0.05
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05832%0.0010.00367%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01944%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.0810%0.0030.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03480%0.022-0.032100%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05425%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05633%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.000.02387%0.013-0.03250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.23.529.520.530.53.534.5153.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +42.8%
ORL +2.7%
ORL +13.0%
WAS -9.2%
ORL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASORLNBAWASORLNBA
this game15.114.815.586.5115.5105.7
season15.115.2100.9106.3
opponent16.215.2101.1108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.815.517.111.315.1
ORL15.212.714.216.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lester Hudson14140.00-0.500.50-0.062-313310.615.8-5.1917.814.33.52
Trevor Booker21210.00-0.500.50-0.031-303111.016.2-5.2716.314.41.93
Hamady Ndiaye890.00-0.500.50-0.124-33378.015.7-7.7215.214.70.49
Hilton Armstrong2223-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-241915.115.10.0815.514.60.92
Nick Young4444-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-252113.316.6-3.3215.114.50.58
Cartier Martin4950-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-262313.416.8-3.4414.615.0-0.36
Yi Jianlian5857-0.23-0.270.050.36-20-9-1114.915.3-0.3114.115.7-1.53
JaVale McGee3938-0.28-0.22-0.070.13-14-15116.414.12.3014.315.1-0.75
Andray Blatche4446-0.35-0.15-0.200.36-24-5-1917.213.24.0214.814.70.06
Al Thornton4747-0.35-0.15-0.200.41-26-3-2316.813.43.4415.014.60.36
Kirk Hinrich6465-0.39-0.11-0.280.34-25-4-2116.312.63.6714.615.1-0.43
John Wall7071-0.47-0.03-0.430.44-312-3316.012.73.3214.116.6-2.46

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter49490.440.060.38-0.4731-23314.315.3-1.0317.412.64.77
Rashard Lewis47470.410.090.33-0.412812714.015.5-1.5817.312.94.44
Quentin Richardson50510.350.150.19-0.422632314.615.0-0.4416.613.33.27
Dwight Howard58570.340.160.18-0.362451914.714.9-0.2916.313.33.02
Jameer Nelson45460.340.160.17-0.432632315.014.60.4616.913.43.45
JJ Redick44440.210.29-0.08-0.03821-1313.415.9-2.4515.115.10.03
Chris Duhon42390.160.34-0.170.11227-2513.815.5-1.7014.215.7-1.50
Marcin Gortat39390.160.34-0.180.01524-1914.914.70.2913.316.3-3.02
Brandon Bass33330.090.41-0.330.06128-2715.514.41.1212.616.4-3.76
Ryan Anderson35330.000.50-0.490.12-433-3716.114.02.0512.216.6-4.41
Mickael Pietrus26250.000.50-0.500.06-231-3316.814.02.8311.316.4-5.13
Jason Williams17170.000.50-0.500.00029-2917.014.32.7010.616.0-5.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 115, HOU 1310.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
SEA 116, DEN 1680.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
DEN 79, NJN 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%