NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	79		Excitement	1.7 [1271]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +7.3%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.0 [1269]		LVP	Rodney White (DEN): -8.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	16	47%	-0.04	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	7	28%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	-0.00
Rodney White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	14	80%	0.10	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.03	8	83%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	64%	0.02	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	62%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	5	25%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	1	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.0	26.5	14.0	27.1	2.4	24.3	117.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +29.2%

NJN +2.0%

DEN -1.2%

NJN +19.3%

NJN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NJN	NBA	DEN	NJN	NBA
this game	17.1	12.5	15.5	80.6	102.1	101.6
season	15.7	15.0		90.4	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		96.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	21.1	15.6	17.0	15.0	17.1
NJN	12.2	13.8	10.7	13.2	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Junior Harrington	28	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	-12	4	14.3	18.1	-3.82	12.2	12.6	-0.42
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-19	18	15.0	18.9	-3.95	11.8	13.0	-1.24
Donnell Harvey	22	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-22	24	16.7	17.1	-0.42	13.7	12.1	1.65
Chris Andersen	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-14	8	15.9	17.9	-2.06	12.4	12.5	-0.02
Nene	49	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-16	12	16.2	17.9	-1.61	11.9	13.0	-1.04
James Posey	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.41	-21	1	-22	18.1	16.3	1.79	11.0	13.4	-2.45
Kenny Satterfield	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-21	22	17.9	16.0	1.88	12.9	11.8	1.09
Rodney White	43	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-24	28	17.0	17.1	-0.05	13.1	11.9	1.12
Chris Whitney	30	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.20	-16	-4	-12	16.7	17.2	-0.46	12.9	12.3	0.60
Ryan Bowen	40	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-5	-10	19.4	15.4	3.97	12.1	12.7	-0.60
Mark Blount	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-4	-12	17.9	16.2	1.61	13.0	11.9	1.04
Juwan Howard	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.27	-20	0	-20	18.3	15.9	2.40	12.8	12.2	0.61

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.51	30	-10	40	12.0	13.2	-1.17	17.8	15.7	2.06
Kenyon Martin	57	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.42	27	-7	34	12.1	13.0	-0.87	17.8	15.9	1.93
Dikembe Mutombo	50	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.39	25	-5	30	11.4	13.6	-2.20	17.7	16.3	1.45
Kerry Kittles	55	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.47	27	-7	34	12.1	13.0	-0.95	17.7	16.1	1.60
Richard Jefferson	54	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.45	26	-6	32	12.0	13.1	-1.13	17.6	16.3	1.26
Rodney Rogers	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	23	-26	12.9	12.1	0.85	16.4	17.6	-1.12
Aaron Williams	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	12	-4	13.1	12.2	0.96	17.6	16.8	0.76
Lucious Harris	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.38	-7	27	-34	13.0	12.1	0.95	16.1	17.7	-1.60
Anthony Johnson	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.42	-10	30	-40	13.2	12.0	1.17	15.7	17.8	-2.06
Jason Collins	39	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.43	-11	31	-42	14.1	11.4	2.74	15.8	17.8	-2.08
Brian Scalabrine	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	32	-44	12.2	12.5	-0.26	13.7	17.7	-4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
BKN 95, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
PHX 115, HOU 131	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%