NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	90		Excitement	7.7 [265]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +26.9%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	3.0 [447]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -15.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	69%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	45%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	22	38%	-0.03	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.15	-0.05	16	62%	0.36	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.04	0.17	-0.01	9	43%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	13	65%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.06	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	18	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.4	13.8	25.2	1.6	41.2	138.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +60.8%

CHA -8.8%

CHA -0.5%

HOU +0.2%

CHA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.3	98.9	106.6	106.0
season	16.2	15.0		103.0	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	15.7	17.4	16.0	16.1
HOU	14.5	15.6	16.1	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	42	43	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.29	0	-7	7	15.8	16.4	-0.58	14.6	16.4	-1.79
Stephen Graham	26	27	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-9	11	17.4	15.6	1.77	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Derrick Brown	12	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	16.7	16.0	0.72	16.0	15.4	0.55
Nazr Mohammed	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-1	-5	16.7	15.8	0.91	14.7	15.9	-1.12
Gerald Wallace	70	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-7	7	16.1	16.3	-0.28	15.9	14.4	1.53
Tyson Chandler	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-10	13	16.2	16.0	0.18	16.3	13.9	2.43
Raymond Felton	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-6	5	16.0	16.6	-0.68	15.7	15.0	0.65
Boris Diaw	68	67	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.53	-10	3	-13	16.0	16.6	-0.59	15.3	16.3	-1.04
Larry Hughes	79	79	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.35	-17	10	-27	15.8	18.0	-2.16	15.7	14.6	1.09

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	52	54	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.58	13	-6	19	15.5	15.6	-0.15	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Jared Jeffries	35	35	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-2	11	14.7	16.0	-1.28	16.4	16.0	0.41
Trevor Ariza	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-2	11	15.5	15.7	-0.22	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Luis Scola	72	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	4	-1	15.9	14.1	1.80	16.2	15.8	0.36
Aaron Brooks	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	3	1	15.7	15.0	0.67	15.8	17.3	-1.44
Charles Hayes	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	2	3	15.6	15.4	0.23	16.1	16.1	-0.04
Jordan Hill	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	8	-9	15.8	15.5	0.38	16.6	16.0	0.57
Chase Budinger	44	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.15	-5	12	-17	15.8	15.2	0.61	16.6	15.7	0.92
Kyle Lowry	44	42	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.29	-2	9	-11	14.9	16.1	-1.20	16.0	16.2	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.67,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	90.9%
WAS 114, CHA 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.47,0.16,0.43,0.96,1	90.2%
PHI 85, BOS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.53,0.96,1	90.0%