NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	8.8 [150]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHA): +31.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	119		Comeback	8.3 [185]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -18.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.14	0.00	8	85%	0.31	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Nene	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.02	11	84%	0.22	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.00	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bradley Beal	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
John Wall	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.19,-0.19	-0.01	-0.18	-0.00	17	58%	0.16	6	-0.35	9	89%	0.06

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.34,0.34,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.20	-0.00	10	86%	0.43	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.04,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.00	14	56%	0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.01	16	63%	0.15	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	11	55%	0.09	2	-0.11	9	78%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	28.2	15.6	30.5	2.0	39.3	142.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +42.0%

WAS -6.8%

WAS -17.1%

CHA +34.1%

WAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.4	118.8	121.4	104.1
season	15.1	15.6		98.8	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		109.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	15.7	15.2	15.4	15.2
CHA	16.2	14.3	13.6	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	53	56	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-11	17	15.4	14.9	0.45	15.2	13.5	1.70
Kevin Seraphin	19	20	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.05	4	-9	13	17.2	14.7	2.47	12.2	15.1	-2.92
Bradley Beal	40	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	15.3	15.1	0.30	12.7	15.9	-3.16
Emeka Okafor	59	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	15.4	14.9	0.46	14.9	13.9	1.05
Martell Webster	72	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-7	9	14.9	16.1	-1.21	15.2	12.8	2.35
Nene	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	13.9	17.4	-3.49	15.5	13.0	2.57
Trevor Booker	52	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	16.0	14.2	1.80	14.0	15.1	-1.05
Trevor Ariza	57	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	4	-13	15.5	14.7	0.86	13.8	15.6	-1.81
John Wall	68	68	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	4	-13	14.8	16.2	-1.41	14.8	13.9	0.89

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	62	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-5	15	13.4	16.5	-3.09	16.0	13.8	2.12
Ben Gordon	43	42	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	13.3	15.5	-2.17	15.6	14.9	0.70
Gerald Henderson	93	92	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	14.4	17.4	-3.03	15.4	11.0	4.36
Kemba Walker	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	2	1	15.0	13.3	1.69	14.2	17.8	-3.61
Josh McRoberts	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	4	-3	15.1	12.9	2.23	14.4	17.5	-3.15
Brendan Haywood	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	1	3	14.4	14.5	-0.11	16.9	14.9	1.97
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	50	48	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	15.9	13.1	2.86	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Jeff Adrien	12	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	5	-5	11.1	15.0	-3.92	18.5	14.8	3.71
Jannero Pargo	37	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	13.5	15.1	-1.57	16.7	14.2	2.52
Bismack Biyombo	36	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	10	-15	16.5	13.4	3.09	13.8	16.0	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.47,0.16,0.43,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.38,0.61,0.29,0.55,0.83,1	91.5%
MEM 93, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.43,0.92,1	90.9%
PHX 101, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.54,0.32,0.31,0.55,0.92,1	90.3%