NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	7.4 [304]		MVP	Will Bynum (DET): +14.6%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	30.6 [32]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -38.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	13	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	20	44%	0.06	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	52%	0.09	6	-0.16	5	20%	-0.07
Mike Bibby	-0.39	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.39	-0.01	-0.31	0.07	14	50%	-0.20	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	15	52%	0.20	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.08
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.12	0.01	17	56%	0.24	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.11
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.3	29.6	16.8	23.1	1.8	37.2	138.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +7.4%

DET +43.3%

ATL -13.5%

DET +13.8%

ATL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.3	95.7	100.0	106.0
season	16.0	16.8		109.4	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		109.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	13.8	13.1	21.0	15.7
DET	15.3	16.9	18.2	13.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	64	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-7	12	14.0	19.6	-5.62	16.7	14.2	2.53
Jeff Teague	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	11.8	16.3	-4.48	16.0	15.9	0.05
Joe Smith	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	12.6	16.3	-3.68	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Zaza Pachulia	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	5	-12	15.1	15.9	-0.83	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Josh Smith	67	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.41	8	-10	18	16.1	14.5	1.61	16.4	14.6	1.87
Marvin Williams	71	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-2	2	16.3	13.8	2.44	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Al Horford	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-4	6	16.4	12.9	3.46	16.1	15.2	0.92
Jamal Crawford	66	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	15.6	15.9	-0.26	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Mike Bibby	68	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	9	-20	17.2	11.5	5.73	15.0	18.3	-3.27

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.45	5	-3	8	15.6	17.0	-1.46	14.9	17.8	-2.89
Austin Daye	83	85	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.7	18.4	-2.68	15.8	14.3	1.53
Jonas Jerebko	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	4	-6	16.1	15.6	0.53	16.4	14.3	2.17
Will Bynum	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	4	-6	15.8	16.8	-1.00	15.2	17.7	-2.52
Ben Wallace	41	42	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.66	-10	12	-22	16.0	15.9	0.04	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Charlie Villanueva	44	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	-12	26	15.5	16.4	-0.94	16.6	14.8	1.86
Chucky Atkins	14	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	-2	6	16.1	15.9	0.14	18.1	15.2	2.87
DaJuan Summers	22	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	-1	4	15.3	16.2	-0.84	13.8	16.4	-2.52
Kwame Brown	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	0	2	17.2	15.3	1.89	17.2	14.9	2.31
Rodney Stuckey	15	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	8	-14	18.6	15.4	3.17	16.2	15.6	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.63,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.15,1	91.7%
MEM 89, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,1	90.8%
POR 104, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.25,0.16,0.29,0.15,1	90.5%