NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	7.2 [362]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): +40.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	31.3 [23]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -19.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	9	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	9	71%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.03
Nick Calathes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.13	-0.02	13	52%	0.16	3	-0.28	3	67%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-0.04	7	43%	0.08	5	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.41	0.41	0.04	0.37	0.00	12	65%	0.54	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.12
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	-0.09	7	50%	0.04	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.06	0.02	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.00	14	47%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	46%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	27.3	15.7	23.2	2.4	34.8	131.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -40.2%

MIN +22.3%

MIN +29.7%

MIN +36.5%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.1	93.7	96.8	104.2
season	15.9	15.0		103.8	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		110.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	14.0	14.8	15.7	14.8
MIN	14.7	17.3	15.2	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	44	44	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.24	7	-8	15	14.2	15.3	-1.02	16.0	15.7	0.33
Kosta Koufos	35	35	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.22	0	-1	1	15.5	14.4	1.04	17.7	14.7	2.99
JaMychal Green	17	17	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-9	17	13.8	15.0	-1.26	18.1	15.4	2.70
Jon Leuer	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	3	-7	12.8	15.1	-2.35	13.8	16.2	-2.43
Nick Calathes	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	6	-13	14.9	14.8	0.16	16.9	15.5	1.41
Beno Udrih	23	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	5	-11	13.3	15.3	-1.97	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Mike Conley	72	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.43	5	-6	11	15.3	13.3	1.97	15.9	15.8	0.12
Marc Gasol	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.54	4	-5	9	14.5	15.4	-0.83	15.2	17.2	-1.97
Jeff Green	61	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.61	4	-5	9	14.9	14.6	0.38	16.1	15.5	0.61
Courtney Lee	60	57	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.58	-6	5	-11	15.0	14.4	0.59	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Zach Randolph	60	56	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.57	-10	9	-19	15.4	13.7	1.72	15.2	16.8	-1.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	40	42	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.57	6	-5	11	16.5	15.3	1.23	15.7	14.1	1.60
Ricky Rubio	50	54	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.60	5	-4	9	14.7	17.1	-2.40	15.2	14.2	0.98
Andrew Wiggins	84	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.45	5	-4	9	15.3	20.8	-5.46	15.1	11.6	3.47
Thaddeus Young	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	5	-9	15.9	15.7	0.14	14.6	15.7	-1.07
Mo Williams	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	1	-1	16.5	15.2	1.34	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Zach LaVine	16	14	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	-2	5	17.4	15.5	1.92	14.4	14.9	-0.44
Kevin Martin	73	75	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	7	-13	15.8	15.9	-0.06	15.1	13.8	1.27
Gorgui Dieng	44	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.10	-1	2	-3	15.2	16.4	-1.22	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Anthony Bennett	33	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.05	-3	4	-7	17.2	15.1	2.02	14.2	15.1	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.15,1	93.0%
LAL 75, OKC 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.13,1	92.7%
CHA 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.16,1	92.2%