NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	8.2 [198]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +18.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	2.1 [432]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): -18.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.01	21	62%	0.25	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Toney Douglas	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	8	72%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	19	58%	0.18	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.05
Henry Walker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	13	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	14	32%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	12	37%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.15,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	71%	0.20	3	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.08	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.10	0.02	11	71%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.15	-0.02	18	59%	0.07	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.16,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.14	0.00	17	65%	0.10	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	30.3	15.7	25.1	2.5	34.5	133.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.9%

NYK +23.2%

LAC -31.4%

NYK +51.0%

LAC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	15.3	111.9	104.9	106.0
season	14.7	15.5		105.9	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.0	15.2	12.9	14.2	13.8
LAC	13.7	13.6	16.5	14.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	69	68	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.52	12	-6	18	13.1	15.3	-2.14	14.5	14.6	-0.15
David Lee	91	93	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	13.4	17.7	-4.30	14.8	11.8	3.04
Toney Douglas	65	66	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.16	12	-6	18	12.8	15.7	-3.00	14.7	14.2	0.55
Al Harrington	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	6	-6	14.2	12.7	1.58	13.9	16.2	-2.25
Danilo Gallinari	75	76	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	12	-18	14.8	10.9	3.90	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Earl Barron	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	1	4	14.0	13.7	0.32	15.1	14.2	0.88
Sergio Rodriguez	46	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.27	9	-3	12	13.3	14.2	-0.91	15.9	13.3	2.58
Chris Duhon	48	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	15	-24	15.1	12.6	2.52	13.8	15.2	-1.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	16.9	13.7	3.23	14.0	13.8	0.24
Drew Gooden	61	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-13	20	13.9	15.5	-1.61	15.2	11.6	3.60
Baron Davis	87	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-14	22	14.2	16.5	-2.25	14.6	9.9	4.69
Rasual Butler	93	92	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-12	18	14.3	17.6	-3.30	14.2	10.0	4.20
DeAndre Jordan	38	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	5	-16	16.2	13.6	2.56	12.7	14.4	-1.75
Steve Novak	12	13	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	8	-22	15.0	14.5	0.51	7.6	14.7	-7.12
Chris Kaman	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-4	2	13.7	16.9	-3.23	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Steve Blake	41	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	5	-16	16.1	13.5	2.59	12.9	14.4	-1.55
Eric Gordon	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	3	-12	14.1	15.9	-1.79	13.5	14.8	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.37,0.57,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 103, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.23,0.15,0	90.7%
SAC 109, CHA 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.24,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.55,0.42,0	90.6%
MIA 102, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.27,0	90.4%