NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	7.4 [313]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +26.2%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	3.4 [118]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (SAS): -17.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Matt Bonner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.04	-0.10	-0.02	19	47%	0.02	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	15	38%	0.02	4	-0.18	4	25%	-0.04
Antonio McDyess	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.17	0.01	14	59%	0.26	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	13	66%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	13	43%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	12	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.02	16	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	30.4	14.8	24.1	2.4	36.8	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -7.5%

NJN +19.1%

SAS -20.7%

NJN +51.1%

NJN +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NJN	NBA	SAS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.3	93.3	102.3	106.0
season	15.9	15.9		108.2	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.9	15.5	16.3	17.3	16.5
NJN	15.1	18.1	16.4	14.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	32	30	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-11	16	16.7	16.4	0.29	16.0	15.8	0.17
Roger Mason Jr.	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	16.5	16.5	0.04	15.1	16.0	-0.98
Garrett Temple	20	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-6	6	17.8	16.1	1.74	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Antonio McDyess	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	3	-12	16.5	16.5	0.07	16.2	15.6	0.59
Matt Bonner	51	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-9	12	16.5	16.5	-0.07	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Keith Bogans	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	4	-14	16.9	16.2	0.74	15.8	15.9	-0.03
George Hill	75	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	-3	0	16.1	18.5	-2.36	16.3	14.0	2.26
Richard Jefferson	72	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	16.2	17.7	-1.53	16.2	14.7	1.42
Malik Hairston	50	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	0	-6	16.7	16.3	0.36	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Tim Duncan	58	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	5	-16	16.4	16.7	-0.29	15.8	16.0	-0.17

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	65	68	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.29	14	-8	22	15.4	17.0	-1.61	16.6	16.1	0.48
Brook Lopez	70	72	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-5	16	15.7	16.4	-0.67	16.5	16.3	0.21
Terrence Williams	48	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-1	8	15.0	16.8	-1.83	17.3	15.5	1.76
Yi Jianlian	55	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-1	8	16.5	14.7	1.85	16.4	16.6	-0.24
Devin Harris	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	3	0	16.1	14.8	1.35	16.3	17.1	-0.77
Keyon Dooling	25	26	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	3	0	15.2	16.1	-0.97	17.4	16.1	1.30
Jarvis Hayes	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	4	-2	16.1	15.6	0.51	14.9	17.9	-3.04
Kris Humphries	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	10	-14	15.5	16.0	-0.47	17.6	15.9	1.65
Chris Douglas-Roberts	16	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	14	-22	17.4	15.5	1.94	15.2	16.8	-1.52
Josh Boone	18	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	11	-16	16.4	15.7	0.67	16.3	16.5	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.28,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.22,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.93,0.99,1	91.8%
NJN 87, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.85,0.94,1,1	91.2%
DET 93, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.38,0.78,0.91,0.96,1	91.2%