NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	7.4 [358]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +25.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	3.6 [412]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -29.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.00	4	33%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	12	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	6	43%	0.02	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.17,-0.22,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3	-0.11	-0.20	-0.02	22	49%	-0.10	8	-0.20	11	73%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.08	0.01	21	64%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.16	-0.01	13	59%	0.28	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.10	0.03	10	56%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	53%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.7	26.0	14.8	28.0	1.8	38.2	138.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +38.4%

SEA +0.9%

NJN -14.4%

SEA +23.5%

SEA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SEA	NBA	NJN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.9	15.4	91.6	106.5	104.5
season	15.4	15.4		103.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.7	16.6	15.3	14.2	14.7
SEA	16.6	14.0	16.7	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	35	32	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-16	20	14.7	14.7	-0.06	15.0	16.4	-1.41
Bostjan Nachbar	19	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-13	14	13.9	14.9	-0.97	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Marcus Williams	33	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-15	18	15.5	14.3	1.21	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Nenad Krstic	50	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-6	0	14.6	14.8	-0.22	16.1	15.7	0.48
Jason Collins	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-7	2	15.7	13.6	2.13	16.7	14.9	1.87
Vince Carter	82	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	-3	-6	13.9	20.0	-6.11	16.2	14.1	2.10
Richard Jefferson	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	-1	-10	13.9	15.8	-1.85	15.5	16.5	-1.01
Jason Kidd	75	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	6	-24	15.0	13.7	1.24	15.9	16.2	-0.29
Antoine Wright	75	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.12	-19	7	-26	15.2	12.8	2.38	16.0	15.8	0.14

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	79	81	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.05	23	-11	34	16.1	14.9	1.17	15.1	12.4	2.69
Johan Petro	59	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	0	12	16.6	14.7	1.92	14.6	15.0	-0.45
Ray Allen	84	87	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	1	10	15.8	17.4	-1.68	15.1	11.1	3.93
Luke Ridnour	64	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	5	2	16.3	15.0	1.29	13.8	16.9	-3.12
Damien Wilkins	38	39	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	8	-4	16.2	15.7	0.53	13.3	15.7	-2.36
Earl Watson	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	8	-4	15.3	16.4	-1.11	15.2	14.4	0.85
Nick Collison	35	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	12	-12	15.0	16.5	-1.44	16.0	13.9	2.04
Mickael Gelabale	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	14	-16	3.0	16.1	-13.07	0.0	14.9	-14.88
Chris Wilcox	66	68	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	11	-10	15.8	16.3	-0.52	15.0	14.1	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.85,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 78, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.48,0.76,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.8%
CLE 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	92.5%
MIN 96, SEA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.62,0.84,1,1,1	91.3%