NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	102		Excitement	4.4 [925]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +27.8%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	1.9 [568]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -11.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DaJuan Summers	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.01	7	63%	0.22	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	5	62%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.05
Rodney Stuckey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,-0.02,-0.04	0.12	-0.09	0.07	17	61%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	13	52%	-0.05	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.04	12	46%	-0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.15	0.05	16	76%	0.30	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	2	100%	0.15	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	10	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.07	-0.01	14	67%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.07	-0.04	13	56%	-0.00	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	26.1	16.4	28.4	2.7	37.4	140.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.6%

IND +18.1%

DET -3.0%

DET -5.5%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.3	112.1	116.5	106.0
season	16.8	14.2		104.0	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		105.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.7	18.3	18.5	12.5	16.8
IND	12.7	14.5	17.5	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.25	10	-14	24	15.0	17.5	-2.53	16.3	14.3	2.05
Austin Daye	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-6	8	13.3	16.9	-3.55	17.0	14.8	2.22
DaJuan Summers	34	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.41	14	-18	32	13.7	18.6	-4.89	15.6	14.5	1.09
Ben Wallace	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-8	12	17.7	15.9	1.82	15.9	14.0	1.91
Rodney Stuckey	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-15	26	16.1	17.7	-1.57	15.5	14.0	1.48
Ben Gordon	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.47	10	-14	24	16.2	17.7	-1.44	14.9	14.8	0.18
Richard Hamilton	35	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	10	-24	17.7	16.2	1.44	14.8	14.9	-0.18
Will Bynum	39	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	11	-26	17.7	16.1	1.57	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Jonas Jerebko	44	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	13	-30	19.0	14.7	4.32	15.1	14.7	0.45
Jason Maxiell	52	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	9	-22	16.3	17.4	-1.03	13.7	16.5	-2.80
Tayshaun Prince	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	8	-20	17.4	14.7	2.69	14.0	17.7	-3.70

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	73	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-9	22	14.9	14.8	0.13	18.1	11.8	6.29
Troy Murphy	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-10	24	14.3	16.5	-2.21	17.4	14.9	2.52
Roy Hibbert	81	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-9	22	14.8	15.2	-0.36	17.7	11.2	6.55
Brandon Rush	70	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-6	16	14.9	14.8	0.09	17.4	14.4	3.03
Danny Granger	72	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-7	18	15.3	13.4	1.84	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Dahntay Jones	16	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	11	-18	13.7	15.1	-1.37	14.2	17.2	-3.02
A.J. Price	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	12	-20	15.5	14.7	0.86	12.4	18.3	-5.91
Mike Dunleavy	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.33	-14	18	-32	15.5	14.5	1.01	15.2	17.6	-2.34
Josh McRoberts	22	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.27	-12	16	-28	14.6	15.0	-0.32	13.9	17.7	-3.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.9,0.57,0.55,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 105, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.95,1	94.1%
NJN 85, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	92.7%
TOR 95, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.84,1	92.6%