inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 99 Excitement2.2 [1279] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +11.9%
Atlanta Hawks 112 Comeback1.0 [1295] LVPBen Gordon (DET): -3.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Maxiell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.110.000.10970%0.021-0.01978%0.01
Richard Hamilton0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.031360%0.042-0.024100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.051040%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04764%0.0100.0000%0.00
DaJuan Summers0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Will Bynum-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.011067%0.024-0.03450%0.00
Austin Daye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.02437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.021235%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Kwame Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01267%-0.002-0.0320%-0.02
Ben Gordon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.05855%0.036-0.06683%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.180.000.061574%0.131-0.01580%-0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.001460%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00-0.041150%0.0410.00250%-0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.03478%0.0400.001100%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01875%0.063-0.03425%-0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.01-0.05650%0.042-0.012100%0.02
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.068106%0.085-0.0600%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00375%0.002-0.002100%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.62.431.616.425.22.029.0137.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +38.8%
ATL +1.4%
DET -1.2%
ATL +6.7%
ATL +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game17.714.615.3111.2125.8106.0
season16.816.0104.0109.4
opponent15.815.2106.0109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET20.317.217.016.617.7
ATL14.012.117.315.414.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DaJuan Summers340.00-0.500.50-0.124-17213.018.2-15.237.715.0-7.21
Austin Daye2224-0.13-0.370.23-0.130-131314.218.9-4.7014.414.7-0.36
Kwame Brown2728-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-11917.417.9-0.4516.413.82.56
Charlie Villanueva2829-0.16-0.340.18-0.05-4-9517.417.9-0.4814.714.60.07
Ben Gordon4849-0.24-0.260.01-0.10-5-8317.817.60.2514.215.1-0.93
Richard Hamilton5957-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-2-919.015.23.7514.614.8-0.22
Jonas Jerebko6160-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.07-9-4-517.917.40.4814.614.7-0.07
Jason Maxiell6261-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-2-917.917.40.4513.816.4-2.56
Tayshaun Prince6866-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-152-1718.614.93.7514.614.7-0.13
Will Bynum6767-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-12-1-1117.418.5-1.1015.611.93.69

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson64650.390.110.290.041211115.213.22.0618.316.22.13
Josh Smith69680.380.120.260.1485315.312.42.8918.714.54.24
Al Horford56560.360.140.22-0.0514-11514.714.50.2018.616.22.44
Marvin Williams57550.280.220.060.22211-914.714.50.1718.017.30.74
Mike Bibby49520.220.28-0.060.28-215-1716.412.53.8418.316.91.32
Jeff Teague27260.200.30-0.09-0.2114-11511.516.0-4.5315.518.6-3.13
Jamal Crawford43430.200.30-0.090.0367-113.815.4-1.5516.718.6-1.89
Maurice Evans29290.190.31-0.11-0.0485314.414.7-0.3417.417.8-0.40
Zaza Pachulia33330.130.37-0.240.16-114-1514.514.7-0.2016.218.6-2.44
Joe Smith11120.130.37-0.25-0.0567-114.114.7-0.6316.717.9-1.22
Mario West760.010.49-0.490.06-215-179.315.1-5.8112.818.1-5.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 102, NYK 1110.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,197.5%
MIN 92, TOR 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,197.2%
NOH 94, DEN 1160.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%