NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	102		Excitement	2.1 [1296]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +13.8%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	1.2 [924]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -5.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.21	0.00	0.17	16	71%	0.07	3	-0.03	17	88%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.05	11	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	9	67%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	0%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.10	19	38%	-0.03	5	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	0.00	0.09	18	77%	0.15	4	-0.02	12	92%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.04	11	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.00	-0.10	28	48%	0.10	5	-0.03	10	90%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	30.0	16.8	29.9	2.7	42.6	150.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.9%

NYK +7.8%

NYK +3.0%

NYK +7.3%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.4	109.7	120.7	104.1
season	15.6	16.2		99.9	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.0	17.8	13.5	12.3	15.2
NYK	14.1	17.3	17.2	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	33	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-1	-7	15.4	15.1	0.23	13.7	17.1	-3.33
Jeff Taylor	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	16.1	14.7	1.47	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Ben Gordon	46	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-14	19	15.4	15.0	0.39	16.6	15.3	1.24
Bismack Biyombo	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	0	-9	15.8	13.8	1.99	16.1	15.4	0.70
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	15.0	15.6	-0.65	16.2	15.4	0.76
Josh McRoberts	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	1	-11	15.7	14.6	1.08	16.2	15.5	0.76
Kemba Walker	82	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	14.5	20.4	-5.84	16.1	15.0	1.06
Gerald Henderson	90	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.8	28.3	-13.56	15.8	19.5	-3.66

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	69	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-2	13	16.4	14.6	1.75	15.4	14.5	0.94
Raymond Felton	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	1	7	16.0	15.7	0.36	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Kenyon Martin	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	6	-3	16.0	15.8	0.19	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Carmelo Anthony	67	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	10	-11	16.4	14.5	1.93	14.7	16.6	-1.84
Steve Novak	36	34	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.13	14	-5	19	15.6	16.1	-0.51	16.6	14.4	2.21
Iman Shumpert	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	16.4	15.3	1.03	14.5	16.2	-1.68
Chris Copeland	23	23	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	14.3	16.5	-2.22	16.0	14.9	1.10
Jason Kidd	44	45	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	12	-15	15.5	16.3	-0.73	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Marcus Camby	7	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	2	5	15.7	15.9	-0.23	20.9	14.7	6.19
Pablo Prigioni	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	10	-11	15.1	16.2	-1.04	14.6	15.4	-0.77
James White	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	3.0	16.1	-13.07	12.0	15.2	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, HOU 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
PHX 90, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NYK 107, LAC 128	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%