NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	6.7 [444]		MVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): +14.9%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	1.5 [847]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -20.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.11	0.02	9	72%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	44%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	68%	0.14	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.05
Craig Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	2	30%	-0.03	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.05
Chris Kaman	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.14	0.03	15	51%	0.01	3	-0.19	5	80%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	17	34%	-0.18	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.11	-0.02	21	44%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	8	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	16	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	41%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	31.1	15.5	29.5	2.5	36.4	143.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.3%

LAC -16.1%

LAC -4.8%

SAC +29.0%

SAC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	15.3	95.8	100.0	106.0
season	15.5	15.2		101.9	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	15.3	14.0	17.1	15.6
SAC	14.0	16.0	13.1	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Brown	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	2.0	15.7	-13.72	0.0	14.3	-14.28
Craig Smith	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	16.4	15.4	0.98	13.5	14.4	-0.96
DeAndre Jordan	34	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	16.4	15.1	1.25	13.0	14.9	-1.86
Steve Blake	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	3	-11	16.6	15.2	1.38	12.8	14.8	-2.05
Travis Outlaw	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.12	12.5	15.9	-3.34
Baron Davis	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-8	11	15.2	16.6	-1.38	14.8	12.8	2.05
Eric Gordon	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-7	9	14.8	18.2	-3.38	14.6	13.2	1.42
Rasual Butler	80	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-4	3	15.7	14.8	0.91	14.4	13.8	0.57
Chris Kaman	67	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-4	3	15.2	16.4	-1.20	14.8	13.1	1.65
Drew Gooden	66	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-3	1	16.3	14.0	2.24	15.3	11.8	3.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	75	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-8	21	13.6	16.7	-3.17	16.0	14.1	1.86
Spencer Hawes	81	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	0	5	14.3	14.3	-0.04	16.2	12.8	3.34
Carl Landry	81	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	1	3	14.9	11.2	3.70	15.9	13.9	2.02
Tyreke Evans	75	76	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.36	-4	9	-13	14.7	13.0	1.71	14.7	18.7	-3.95
Francisco Garcia	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-4	13	14.2	14.3	-0.09	16.7	15.0	1.71
Ime Udoka	40	38	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.40	-6	11	-17	14.8	13.9	0.85	15.6	15.6	0.01
Omri Casspi	59	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	2	1	14.2	14.5	-0.32	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Joey Dorsey	10	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	10.2	14.7	-4.55	16.1	15.5	0.59
Donte Greene	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	12.8	14.5	-1.74	12.9	16.1	-3.21
Sean May	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	16.2	14.0	2.26	14.8	15.7	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.93,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,1	93.3%
DET 73, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.98,1	93.0%
GSW 101, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.94,1,1	93.0%