inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 101 Excitement5.5 [706] MVPMonta Ellis (GSW): +21.5%
Dallas Mavericks 110 Comeback1.0 [1293] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -11.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0.220,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.220.210.050.052378%0.387-0.161362%-0.03
Andris Biedrins0.020,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00475%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Chris Hunter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
CJ Watson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.011058%0.062-0.054100%0.03
Corey Maggette-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.001948%0.043-0.08475%0.00
Devean George-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01642%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Coby Karl-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.02325%-0.012-0.0620%-0.03
Stephen Curry-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.020.01637%-0.043-0.084100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.060.011169%0.181-0.02786%0.02
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.03-0.011563%0.161-0.0500%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.040.021182%0.163-0.0600%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.01967%0.091-0.026100%0.02
Jason Terry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.041754%0.113-0.05580%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02562%0.061-0.033100%0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Quinton Ross00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Singleton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.02837%-0.024-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.729.416.326.62.432.9135.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +24.6%
DAL +11.3%
GSW -6.3%
DAL +18.3%
DAL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game14.415.315.3104.1113.4106.0
season13.415.2106.5107.2
opponent15.514.8104.6110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.514.713.614.914.4
DAL13.816.015.815.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Hunter33-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-7515.714.41.2914.015.3-1.32
Anthony Tolliver2121-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-5115.514.11.4215.115.3-0.23
Andris Biedrins4241-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-5114.214.5-0.3115.115.4-0.31
Devean George5049-0.18-0.320.14-0.242-111314.314.6-0.3116.614.02.57
Coby Karl3436-0.24-0.260.02-0.00-8-1-714.614.30.2313.116.5-3.40
CJ Watson5555-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.23-1-8714.414.5-0.1116.014.41.58
Stephen Curry5958-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.09-8-1-714.015.0-0.9714.117.0-2.88
Ronny Turiaf5958-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.17-6-3-314.714.00.6316.213.82.40
Corey Maggette8182-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.24-5-4-114.116.0-1.9015.116.0-0.85
Monta Ellis8182-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.15-90-914.613.21.3915.514.31.12

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard60610.52-0.020.530.1413-41715.714.61.0215.113.21.85
Drew Gooden51510.400.100.310.1110-11115.714.80.9415.513.22.36
Jason Kidd68700.300.200.090.1554115.215.4-0.1913.815.9-2.10
Jason Terry77780.290.210.080.41-413-1715.713.71.9313.916.5-2.56
Rodrigue Beaubois32320.270.230.04-0.0310-11114.715.6-0.9315.613.81.81
Dirk Nowitzki61610.260.240.030.2127-516.313.52.8714.614.10.52
Shawn Marion68670.260.240.020.1254114.616.8-2.1614.314.8-0.51
Jose Juan Barea18160.120.38-0.26-0.0972514.315.5-1.1615.214.30.93
James Singleton18170.070.43-0.360.0418-713.615.7-2.0512.214.9-2.64
Eduardo Najera30300.030.47-0.440.09-211-1314.515.6-1.0813.514.8-1.27
Quinton Ross22-0.020.52-0.540.04-211-1313.015.3-2.3310.514.5-3.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.94,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 86, SAS 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,195.0%
MIN 103, DAL 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,1,194.7%
POR 99, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,194.7%