NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	86		Excitement	5.0 [801]		MVP	Speedy Claxton (SAS): +13.8%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	1.1 [1203]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -18.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	22	65%	0.19	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Brent Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	79%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	18	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	16	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	5	81%	0.15	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	11	53%	-0.05	6	-0.14	12	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	29.4	16.8	28.0	2.6	36.4	143.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +17.2%

SAS +20.0%

SAS +8.1%

SEA -0.6%

SAS +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	98.9	108.0	101.6
season	16.5	15.7		101.7	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		96.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.7	19.8	16.2	15.8	16.5
SAS	15.3	16.2	19.0	16.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-10	12	20.2	16.1	4.12	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Jerome James	7	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-2	-4	13.1	16.8	-3.66	17.0	16.6	0.43
Calvin Booth	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-6	4	14.1	17.7	-3.60	16.8	16.5	0.34
Rashard Lewis	71	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-13	18	17.2	13.6	3.61	16.7	16.3	0.35
Vladimir Radmanovic	31	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	1	-10	13.3	18.3	-5.00	17.8	16.0	1.84
Reggie Evans	43	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	18.0	15.1	2.91	17.1	16.1	1.07
Kevin Ollie	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-7	6	15.9	17.5	-1.58	17.4	15.3	2.13
Ray Allen	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-6	4	16.3	17.3	-0.92	16.2	18.4	-2.18
Predrag Drobnjak	53	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	2	-12	17.6	14.8	2.81	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Brent Barry	67	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	17.1	14.6	2.47	15.9	19.1	-3.21

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	1	6	15.5	19.7	-4.19	17.3	14.0	3.30
Tim Duncan	67	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-4	16	16.2	17.8	-1.56	16.5	16.6	-0.18
Malik Rose	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	3	2	16.9	15.8	1.05	15.6	18.9	-3.33
Bruce Bowen	37	37	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	-7	22	14.8	17.9	-3.06	16.6	16.4	0.25
Speedy Claxton	46	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	5	-2	17.3	15.8	1.59	16.9	16.1	0.79
Manu Ginobili	52	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	5	-2	17.6	15.1	2.53	15.9	17.6	-1.67
Steven Smith	52	50	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	8	-8	16.4	16.9	-0.43	16.9	16.0	0.88
David Robinson	39	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	4	0	17.4	16.0	1.38	18.6	14.9	3.63
Kevin Willis	4	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	13	-18	10.7	16.9	-6.13	10.7	16.7	-6.05
Steve Kerr	9	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	12	-16	22.8	15.9	6.89	9.0	17.3	-8.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.94,1,1	95.0%
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.8%
NJN 83, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,1	94.7%