NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	3.1 [1157]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +9.7%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	1.1 [536]		LVP	Keith Bogans (SAS): -7.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.16	0.00	0.12	14	72%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	89%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Malik Hairston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	17	46%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Finley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	8	36%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.07	12	52%	-0.04	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	-0.09	24	53%	0.13	4	-0.03	14	100%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	23	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	17	62%	0.10	3	-0.04	14	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	33.5	14.8	30.2	2.3	37.4	143.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.0%

HOU +1.3%

HOU +3.1%

HOU +7.4%

HOU +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	15.0	15.3	106.1	110.1	106.0
season	15.9	15.0		108.2	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	15.1	13.4	13.0	14.2
HOU	12.9	15.5	15.9	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	16	15	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-13	21	13.3	14.4	-1.07	15.6	14.9	0.67
Malik Hairston	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.55	18	-23	41	13.3	14.8	-1.50	15.8	14.6	1.16
Ian Mahinmi	23	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-13	21	11.0	15.2	-4.13	16.1	14.7	1.36
Keith Bogans	33	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	13.0	14.8	-1.82	14.4	15.3	-0.98
Richard Jefferson	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-16	27	13.9	14.6	-0.70	15.8	13.8	2.08
DeJuan Blair	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.0	0.48	15.7	14.7	1.06
Roger Mason Jr.	62	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.48	9	-14	23	13.7	15.0	-1.26	15.9	13.6	2.32
Antonio McDyess	31	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	6	-17	15.9	13.4	2.53	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Michael Finley	20	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	10	-25	18.5	13.1	5.40	11.8	15.8	-3.95
Manu Ginobili	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	8	-21	13.9	14.5	-0.52	15.0	15.0	0.02
George Hill	76	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	2	-9	14.5	13.3	1.20	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Tim Duncan	49	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.28	-25	20	-45	15.2	13.2	1.96	14.3	15.7	-1.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	96	95	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-7	19	14.9	20.0	-5.12	14.2	15.3	-1.16
Kevin Martin	92	92	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-7	19	14.8	17.9	-3.04	14.3	12.7	1.64
Shane Battier	87	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-5	15	14.9	16.2	-1.29	14.4	13.1	1.28
Charles Hayes	42	42	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	-20	45	13.4	16.3	-2.91	16.2	12.7	3.52
Luis Scola	87	86	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	4	-3	15.1	14.2	0.98	13.8	17.2	-3.47
Chase Budinger	57	57	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.52	-13	18	-31	16.1	13.6	2.53	13.9	14.6	-0.74
David Andersen	8	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	14.9	15.0	-0.17	10.7	14.5	-3.76
Jared Jeffries	17	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	14	-23	16.0	14.8	1.17	12.8	14.5	-1.74
Garrett Temple	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	15	-25	18.6	14.7	3.88	14.1	14.2	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, NYK 131	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ORL 78, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
WAS 112, IND 136	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%