inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 127 Excitement3.7 [1053] MVPTrevor Ariza (HOU): +14.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 99 Comeback1.5 [307] LVPCarlos Delfino (MIL): -6.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.190.000.0511100%0.182-0.0300%0.00
Shane Battier0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.210.010.108111%0.121-0.002100%0.01
Chase Budinger0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.01-0.03592%0.132-0.032100%0.01
Carl Landry0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.020.06976%0.1000.00771%0.01
Luis Scola0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.02-0.03753%0.053-0.03540%-0.01
David Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01454%0.0210.00560%-0.02
Garrett Temple0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.02565%0.032-0.02771%-0.01
Brian Cook0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04533%0.0010.002100%0.00
Jermaine Taylor0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0010.004100%0.00
Joey Dorsey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Aaron Brooks-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.010.010.061256%-0.003-0.06367%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Bell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00853%0.0500.001100%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01658%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011440%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.08-0.010.091160%-0.021-0.00875%-0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.01972%0.064-0.0900%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.01-0.041243%0.033-0.06450%-0.02
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.061127%-0.0300.00475%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01517%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01950%0.044-0.11450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.028.715.026.21.830.0127.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +36.3%
HOU +10.9%
MIL -9.7%
HOU +9.0%
HOU +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMILNBAHOUMILNBA
this game14.713.615.3124.597.1106.0
season15.015.5106.0103.3
opponent15.515.1101.8106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.113.815.914.814.7
MIL13.615.012.912.913.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier59590.460.040.41-0.6036-84415.213.91.3413.913.10.76
Trevor Ariza57560.400.100.31-0.332532214.914.30.6614.013.10.93
Charles Hayes35340.360.140.22-0.292261615.814.01.7813.913.40.50
Aaron Brooks59610.310.190.13-0.5429-13015.413.61.7813.913.20.68
Luis Scola54540.300.200.09-0.6131-33415.413.81.6313.513.7-0.21
David Andersen40410.200.30-0.090.26-230-3214.015.1-1.0414.413.01.40
Garrett Temple43410.190.31-0.130.22-129-3013.615.4-1.7813.213.9-0.68
Carl Landry52530.140.36-0.22-0.301513214.115.2-1.0714.013.20.80
Chase Budinger67680.140.36-0.22-0.03622-1614.015.8-1.7813.413.9-0.50
Brian Cook15150.000.50-0.500.26-937-4613.714.8-1.0811.513.9-2.48
Jermaine Taylor21210.000.50-0.500.32-1139-5014.214.8-0.5312.114.0-1.87
Joey Dorsey870.000.50-0.500.03-129-3012.614.8-2.209.413.9-4.46

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric1312-0.00-0.500.490.32-11-17612.513.7-1.1915.814.51.33
Jerry Stackhouse3332-0.09-0.410.320.35-15-13-213.113.8-0.6814.214.9-0.68
Luc Mbah a Moute5959-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-262412.615.0-2.4215.613.32.26
Kurt Thomas3940-0.12-0.380.25-0.275-333813.213.8-0.6513.815.2-1.45
Jodie Meeks5048-0.20-0.300.100.03-8-201213.214.0-0.7814.514.8-0.38
Charlie Bell5859-0.24-0.260.02-0.364-323613.613.50.1414.814.40.37
Ersan Ilyasova4143-0.31-0.19-0.120.36-23-5-1814.712.81.9313.415.5-2.10
Brandon Jennings4042-0.32-0.18-0.150.26-20-8-1213.913.40.5715.214.30.95
Luke Ridnour7371-0.35-0.15-0.200.39-25-3-2213.513.7-0.1114.415.2-0.82
Andrew Bogut5050-0.37-0.13-0.240.27-22-6-1614.213.01.1415.114.20.83
Carlos Delfino5454-0.38-0.12-0.270.29-23-5-1814.212.91.2914.814.50.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 109, IND 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
IND 103, BKN 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
PHI 116, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%