NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	3.9 [1012]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +6.6%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	1.9 [769]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -17.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	12	61%	0.00	2	-0.02	9	44%	-0.04
Samaki Walker	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.03	0.02	22	53%	0.02	3	-0.05	14	57%	-0.09
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	6	58%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	75%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	14	39%	-0.09	1	-0.02	18	67%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	11	17%	-0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.02	0.01	18	38%	-0.09	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	35.9	15.7	26.4	2.4	23.4	128.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.8%

IND -4.5%

IND -1.6%

LAL +1.8%

LAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.6	110.1	90.9	102.3
season	15.3	15.3		106.9	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		100.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	10.8	13.2	15.1	13.9
IND	12.5	17.3	15.6	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	51	51	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	3	13	12.8	15.0	-2.13	15.6	14.9	0.73
Kobe Bryant	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.29	23	-4	27	13.9	13.7	0.23	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Derek Fisher	52	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	2	15	14.1	13.6	0.54	14.4	16.1	-1.75
Rick Fox	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	4	11	14.6	13.2	1.36	13.9	16.4	-2.42
Samaki Walker	40	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	7	5	15.4	12.8	2.59	14.3	15.9	-1.65
Devean George	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	11	-3	13.0	15.0	-1.94	16.2	13.8	2.39
Lindsey Hunter	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	14	-9	12.9	14.6	-1.75	16.1	14.5	1.63
Robert Horry	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.15	12	7	5	12.7	14.7	-2.07	16.9	14.0	2.95
Mitch Richmond	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	24	-29	14.3	13.7	0.68	15.1	15.3	-0.14
Mark Madsen	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	17	-15	14.6	13.6	1.03	16.6	14.7	1.92
Slava Medvedenko	31	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	29	-39	15.3	13.2	2.08	12.9	16.3	-3.39

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	13.6	15.4	-1.79	14.6	13.8	0.77
Carlos Rogers	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.11	-5	-14	9	17.1	15.0	2.08	13.7	13.9	-0.15
Jeff Foster	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.22	-11	-8	-3	15.3	15.2	0.17	12.6	14.7	-2.08
Jonathan Bender	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-22	25	16.5	14.6	1.97	12.9	14.3	-1.41
Travis Best	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-14	9	15.7	14.8	0.98	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Jalen Rose	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-13	7	16.0	14.7	1.27	14.2	13.6	0.53
Al Harrington	53	55	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.27	-21	2	-23	15.4	15.1	0.27	12.9	15.1	-2.26
Austin Croshere	27	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-5	-9	16.2	14.9	1.31	13.9	13.8	0.04
Reggie Miller	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-6	-7	14.4	17.8	-3.38	14.5	11.8	2.73
Jamaal Tinsley	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-10	1	14.2	17.6	-3.38	14.7	11.8	2.87
Jermaine O'Neal	87	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	1	-21	15.3	15.0	0.26	14.2	11.8	2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 108, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
TOR 119, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
HOU 127, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%