NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	5.2 [772]		MVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): +36.2%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1.2 [1031]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -20.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.3,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.07	0.06	13	81%	0.25	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.08	0.01	12	54%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	12	31%	-0.06	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.04	0.27	-0.06	8	59%	0.37	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.08	0.01	15	57%	0.16	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.01
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	11	61%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	53%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.04	10	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	25.9	15.7	29.8	1.7	37.5	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +8.7%

TOR +12.9%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +27.1%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.9	15.3	93.0	103.0	106.0
season	15.1	15.0		104.2	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		111.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.4	14.8	12.8	11.4	13.7
TOR	15.6	14.6	12.9	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	27	28	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.34	13	-24	37	11.7	14.5	-2.76	16.8	14.2	2.62
Marreese Speights	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-8	5	12.6	13.9	-1.29	11.8	15.6	-3.77
Jason Kapono	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-8	5	14.2	13.6	0.61	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Elton Brand	68	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-18	25	13.0	15.3	-2.30	16.2	12.6	3.57
Royal Ivey	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-9	7	12.7	14.2	-1.47	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Jrue Holiday	40	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-2	-7	16.2	12.1	4.09	15.1	14.8	0.28
Thaddeus Young	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	12.7	15.2	-2.54	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Lou Williams	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-9	7	12.1	16.2	-4.09	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Samuel Dalembert	40	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	2	-15	16.1	12.1	3.97	15.4	14.6	0.77
Willie Green	54	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	6	-23	15.2	12.0	3.27	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Andre Iguodala	85	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.04	-21	10	-31	14.1	11.7	2.42	14.6	16.8	-2.15

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-8	27	14.4	15.7	-1.23	15.0	11.8	3.16
Andrea Bargnani	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	14.6	16.0	-1.40	13.7	13.8	-0.15
Chris Bosh	86	84	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	-1	13	15.0	14.5	0.54	14.2	11.4	2.72
DeMar DeRozan	59	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	-3	17	14.2	16.0	-1.75	14.7	12.3	2.43
Jarrett Jack	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-1	13	14.7	15.3	-0.69	14.3	12.9	1.39
Jose Calderon	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	13	-15	15.5	14.5	1.05	12.7	14.5	-1.88
Amir Johnson	27	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	13	-15	15.3	14.8	0.55	13.2	13.9	-0.77
Antoine Wright	55	55	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.33	-7	18	-25	15.9	13.7	2.23	12.2	15.6	-3.38
Marco Belinelli	24	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	14	-17	15.2	14.8	0.42	12.0	14.2	-2.18
Reggie Evans	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	11	-11	15.6	14.8	0.74	12.1	13.9	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.97,0.85,0.57,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 107, OKC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.98,1	93.0%
CLE 100, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.95,1	92.8%
CHI 88, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.85,1	92.8%