NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	4.8 [871]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (CLE): +13.5%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.5 [850]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -19.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.17	-0.01	0.07	22	70%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Bennett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	16	42%	-0.11	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	-0.00	-0.02	12	61%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	16	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.02	0.07	11	79%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	11	48%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	2	12%	-0.05	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	14	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.4	15.7	26.7	1.7	37.5	134.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.3%

BOS +2.4%

BOS +27.8%

CLE -8.6%

BOS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	15.1	104.2	108.4	105.2
season	15.2	15.4		102.8	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		106.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	15.1	15.0	12.8	14.3
BOS	16.3	14.9	14.4	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	0	-3	14.4	14.3	0.05	12.0	16.3	-4.29
CJ Miles	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	3	-9	15.9	13.9	1.96	17.0	15.5	1.53
Anthony Bennett	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-12	21	13.5	14.9	-1.45	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Anderson Varejao	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-3	3	15.0	13.4	1.54	16.5	14.9	1.67
Tristan Thompson	52	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	6	-15	15.2	13.2	2.02	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Kyrie Irving	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.47	6	-9	15	14.4	14.1	0.31	16.5	12.1	4.40
Tyler Zeller	43	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	3	-9	13.5	15.0	-1.55	15.5	16.2	-0.67
Earl Clark	50	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	9	-21	14.8	13.8	1.04	15.6	16.1	-0.48
Dion Waiters	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-8	13	13.6	16.0	-2.44	15.4	16.7	-1.25
Jarrett Jack	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	13.9	15.0	-1.11	15.8	16.0	-0.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	72	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-2	7	15.9	15.7	0.14	14.6	13.4	1.19
Jeff Green	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	0	3	16.0	15.3	0.65	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Kris Humphries	36	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	1	1	15.2	16.2	-0.95	13.2	14.9	-1.69
Jordan Crawford	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	-1	5	15.9	15.7	0.26	14.6	13.8	0.76
Brandon Bass	64	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	3	-3	16.0	15.5	0.58	14.6	13.6	1.01
Kelly Olynyk	31	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	0	3	15.5	16.0	-0.58	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Jared Sullinger	59	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	2	-1	16.2	15.2	0.95	14.9	13.2	1.69
Courtney Lee	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	7	-11	15.8	15.8	0.01	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Phil Pressey	26	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	6	-9	15.5	16.0	-0.47	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Gerald Wallace	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-1	5	15.2	16.0	-0.74	14.0	14.4	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
PHI 94, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.6%
PHI 88, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%