NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	3.8 [1026]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +14.5%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	1.3 [1142]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -19.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dedric Willoughby	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	93%	0.14	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Maloney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.02	18	51%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Chris Anstey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	51%	-0.04	0	0.00	17	65%	-0.04
Dickey Simpkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.20	-0.03	-0.04	15	31%	-0.10	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.15	0.14	0.09	0.09	0.03	12	73%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	82%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	73%	0.04	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	61%	0.07	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	8	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.06
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	27.5	16.4	28.4	2.3	38.6	141.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +14.3%

NYK +19.0%

NYK +3.2%

NYK +8.8%

NYK +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.2	98.9	108.0	101.7
season	16.5	16.1		91.8	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.9		98.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.6	17.7	17.8	14.5	17.1
NYK	15.7	15.0	12.7	18.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	16	16	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.50	18	-25	43	16.2	17.3	-1.15	19.1	14.6	4.56
Matt Maloney	51	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-13	19	17.2	17.0	0.24	15.7	15.0	0.70
Will Perdue	35	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	2	-11	16.7	17.4	-0.74	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Chris Carr	15	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	8	-23	18.2	16.9	1.28	14.4	15.6	-1.24
Michael Ruffin	16	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-7	7	18.6	16.8	1.82	18.0	14.9	3.14
Elton Brand	74	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	17.5	15.4	2.09	15.7	14.1	1.60
Toni Kukoc	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	0	-7	16.8	19.1	-2.38	15.0	17.9	-2.96
Dickey Simpkins	42	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	8	-23	17.5	16.8	0.78	14.7	16.1	-1.41
Metta World Peace	81	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-6	5	16.9	19.6	-2.74	15.4	15.2	0.16
Dedric Willoughby	40	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	6	-19	16.9	17.3	-0.43	14.7	15.9	-1.17

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-6	19	14.8	18.0	-3.23	17.0	17.8	-0.81
Allan Houston	74	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-6	19	15.0	17.4	-2.33	17.1	17.3	-0.20
Patrick Ewing	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.04	12	-5	17	15.4	15.3	0.10	17.1	17.2	-0.09
Larry Johnson	60	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-6	19	15.0	16.2	-1.15	16.9	17.6	-0.71
Charlie Ward	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-3	13	13.6	16.9	-3.34	17.5	16.9	0.61
John Wallace	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	12	-17	16.9	14.8	2.11	17.1	17.1	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	10	-13	15.7	15.2	0.55	17.5	16.9	0.64
Marcus Camby	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.32	-7	14	-21	16.3	14.8	1.51	17.2	17.1	0.16
Chris Childs	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.39	-11	18	-29	17.5	13.7	3.80	17.1	17.2	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
ATL 72, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 91, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%