inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 82 Excitement3.8 [1036] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +11.9%
Orlando Magic 99 Comeback2.3 [995] LVPCarlos Delfino (MIL): -13.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Bell0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.00-0.031159%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Kurt Thomas0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.00-0.01757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01742%0.0200.00560%-0.02
Dan Gadzuric0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02422%-0.0100.0010%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.031142%0.011-0.0220%-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00642%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.000.051157%-0.022-0.031100%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03714%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.00-0.030.07745%-0.1000.00617%-0.09
Carlos Delfino-0.140,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.16-0.03-0.051327%-0.103-0.044100%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.170.010.065100%0.1200.00580%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.01865%0.0800.001100%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00561%0.061-0.02887%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.01-0.051552%0.083-0.04333%-0.03
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03650%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.011067%0.116-0.101362%-0.02
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01350%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0330%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.020.041638%-0.0900.00250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.428.316.430.61.829.7133.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +42.1%
ORL +9.5%
MIL -0.7%
MIL -3.6%
ORL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILORLNBAMILORLNBA
this game16.115.215.389.1107.6106.0
season15.515.4103.3110.1
opponent15.915.5101.9101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL18.917.215.313.316.1
ORL14.714.114.118.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric109-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-171712.216.6-4.3617.415.02.47
Andrew Bogut5254-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-181916.016.1-0.1115.514.80.68
Charlie Bell5251-0.10-0.400.300.14-8-9116.815.11.7014.615.9-1.28
Carlos Delfino5050-0.10-0.400.290.07-6-11516.615.51.0414.416.1-1.70
Brandon Jennings5152-0.15-0.350.19-0.212-192116.715.31.4315.714.61.00
Jodie Meeks2120-0.17-0.330.170.04-7-10315.016.4-1.4115.415.20.23
Jerry Stackhouse2728-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-13915.716.2-0.4916.314.71.59
Luc Mbah a Moute3839-0.25-0.250.00-0.10-5-12716.815.61.1515.215.3-0.11
Ersan Ilyasova3534-0.32-0.18-0.150.12-15-2-1316.615.80.8313.816.1-2.26
Luke Ridnour5050-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-14-3-1115.117.2-2.1215.514.90.66
Hakim Warrick4444-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.03-11-6-514.817.3-2.5216.314.22.02
Kurt Thomas3029-0.41-0.09-0.330.12-181-1917.515.42.0514.015.8-1.78

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick50500.440.060.38-0.061701715.614.80.7915.516.7-1.20
Ryan Anderson30300.380.120.250.05116515.615.00.5215.616.3-0.77
Marcin Gortat33320.310.190.130.0598115.015.4-0.3916.116.10.06
Anthony Johnson28260.310.190.120.0598115.815.00.8216.016.1-0.12
Vince Carter77770.310.190.110.0789-115.812.33.4515.817.5-1.73
Matt Barnes57570.250.250.01-0.0198114.117.0-2.8316.914.72.26
Jason Williams64660.190.31-0.12-0.0589-115.015.8-0.8216.116.00.12
Dwight Howard59600.190.31-0.13-0.0589-115.415.00.3916.116.1-0.06
Rashard Lewis62620.120.38-0.25-0.05611-515.015.6-0.5216.315.60.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 101, MIL 1220.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
MEM 78, GSW 980.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
NOH 88, LAL 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%