NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	8.7 [147]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +27.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	2.7 [368]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -29.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.01	28	64%	0.38	3	-0.11	13	62%	0.03
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	7	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.12	0.05	-0.15	0.02	9	78%	0.01	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3	-0.09	-0.20	0.00	9	22%	-0.25	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.15	0.00	18	54%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.14	0.02	19	60%	0.28	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	-0.00	5	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	11	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	9	32%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	32.5	15.6	31.2	3.8	33.0	144.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +4.6%

MEM +7.0%

MEM +30.7%

MEM +11.3%

LAL -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	15.2	15.3	97.9	99.0	106.0
season	15.7	15.4		107.9	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	16.0	12.8	17.1	14.9
MEM	14.1	15.3	14.8	17.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	39	39	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.11	10	-12	22	14.1	15.5	-1.34	15.8	14.9	0.94
Josh Powell	4	5	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-3	4	7.7	15.2	-7.48	13.0	15.4	-2.36
DJ Mbenga	3	4	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-4	6	9.3	15.1	-5.76	10.5	15.4	-4.95
Shannon Brown	28	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-1	0	15.0	14.9	0.07	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Luke Walton	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	5	-12	16.0	14.7	1.26	15.8	15.2	0.68
Andrew Bynum	48	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	2	-6	16.4	13.4	3.08	16.1	14.4	1.72
Lamar Odom	73	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-6	10	14.9	15.0	-0.11	15.5	14.5	0.99
Kobe Bryant	81	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	14.6	16.9	-2.28	15.1	16.1	-1.06
Metta World Peace	68	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.56	-1	-1	0	15.1	14.5	0.61	15.3	15.0	0.28
Pau Gasol	62	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	5	-12	14.5	15.7	-1.20	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Derek Fisher	56	57	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.55	-12	10	-22	15.5	14.1	1.34	14.9	15.8	-0.94

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	62	65	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.53	8	-6	14	15.5	14.7	0.87	15.4	13.8	1.58
O.J. Mayo	59	60	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.59	3	-1	4	15.6	14.6	1.05	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Zach Randolph	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.57	-1	3	-4	15.3	14.9	0.45	15.2	13.1	2.08
Mike Conley	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	3	-4	15.2	15.2	-0.01	14.8	15.1	-0.36
Rudy Gay	89	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	15.2	16.1	-0.97	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Lester Hudson	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.17	7	-5	12	15.8	15.0	0.81	15.2	14.8	0.45
Jamaal Tinsley	41	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-1	4	15.2	15.2	0.01	15.1	14.8	0.36
Hasheem Thabeet	30	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	3	-4	15.0	15.3	-0.30	13.6	15.4	-1.85
Hamed Haddadi	4	3	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	7	-12	12.0	15.4	-3.38	16.0	14.9	1.12
DeMarre Carroll	33	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.08	-5	7	-12	14.1	15.8	-1.75	14.3	15.2	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.63,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.76,0.85,1	91.1%
MIN 74, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	90.7%
HOU 75, POR 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.42,1	90.4%