NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	75		Excitement	8.8 [167]		MVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): +16.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	76		Comeback	2.9 [680]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -35.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01	0.10	-0.10	0.00	13	77%	0.12	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	12	46%	0.11	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Luther Head	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,-0.18	-0.00	-0.17	-0.00	11	59%	-0.04	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	11	48%	-0.05	5	-0.15	5	60%	-0.10
Rafer Alston	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	12	21%	-0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.04,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	9	68%	0.23	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	64%	0.14	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.06	-0.04	10	59%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	28%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.18,-0.18,-0.35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.01	19	39%	0.01	5	-0.36	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.6	27.4	15.0	26.0	1.8	35.2	129.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.2%

POR +8.3%

POR +18.8%

HOU -1.9%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	17.3	15.6	87.2	87.4	104.4
season	16.1	16.6		99.9	99.4
opponent	15.7	16.1		109.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	18.7	15.4	15.2	16.0
POR	17.1	18.2	16.6	17.5	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	31	29	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.03	10	-11	21	16.2	15.8	0.38	16.8	17.6	-0.76
Juwan Howard	68	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-12	23	15.3	18.3	-3.01	17.4	17.1	0.36
Rick Brunson	7	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	6	-13	16.3	15.9	0.36	19.5	17.1	2.39
David Wesley	31	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	6	-13	16.5	15.7	0.83	16.7	17.7	-1.07
Rafer Alston	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.50	6	-7	13	15.9	16.3	-0.36	17.1	19.5	-2.39
Keith Bogans	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.45	4	-5	9	16.1	15.3	0.79	17.3	17.4	-0.02
Stromile Swift	18	19	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	11	-23	18.3	15.3	3.01	17.1	17.4	-0.36
Luther Head	71	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	15.6	17.7	-2.16	17.6	15.9	1.71
Yao Ming	55	58	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.50	-11	10	-21	15.8	16.2	-0.38	17.6	16.8	0.76

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	78	76	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.52	6	-5	11	18.1	11.0	7.06	16.4	12.9	3.46
Juan Dixon	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	-1	3	18.6	13.7	4.89	15.2	18.2	-2.99
Sebastian Telfair	51	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-2	5	16.7	18.3	-1.61	16.0	15.8	0.21
Voshon Lenard	43	42	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	-1	3	16.8	17.8	-0.98	16.3	15.6	0.65
Theo Ratliff	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	5	-9	16.2	18.6	-2.41	16.0	16.0	0.00
Joel Przybilla	41	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	-4	9	18.6	16.2	2.41	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Viktor Khryapa	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	0	1	13.5	18.6	-5.19	18.2	15.2	2.99
Travis Outlaw	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	1	-1	16.0	17.3	-1.35	0.0	16.1	-16.14
Steve Blake	45	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	4	-7	17.9	16.8	1.10	15.6	16.3	-0.65
Darius Miles	44	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	8	-15	16.8	17.8	-1.00	15.5	16.4	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.67,0.73,1	90.5%
LAL 93, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	90.4%
MIN 74, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	90.3%