inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 91 Excitement8.0 [226] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +36.9%
Detroit Pistons 86 Comeback2.9 [578] LVPBen Gordon (DET): -37.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.370.110.25-0.011163%0.3700.005100%0.07
Mickael Pietrus0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.090.140.006100%0.313-0.082100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.120.090.060.03794%0.253-0.132100%0.04
Jason Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.050.01-0.050.01550%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.070,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.00944%0.003-0.081844%-0.19
Vince Carter-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.02812%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.070.01555%0.002-0.0910%-0.01
Ryan Anderson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00420%-0.052-0.072100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.080.011058%0.171-0.041191%0.06
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.130.130.000.130.001150%0.161-0.03250%-0.02
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.00580%0.0900.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.050.011255%0.021-0.03580%0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.01437%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.01440%-0.031-0.0220%-0.04
Richard Hamilton0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.22-0.22-0.10-0.15-0.031542%-0.114-0.113100%0.05
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.38-0.38-0.14-0.25-0.011121%-0.292-0.09250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.630.218.429.52.842.1151.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +84.9%
ORL +4.0%
DET -27.0%
DET -11.1%
DET -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game14.517.815.3103.495.6106.0
season15.416.8110.1104.0
opponent15.215.9109.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.213.516.114.514.5
DET17.016.518.919.117.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Johnson37370.54-0.040.580.376-1714.314.7-0.4219.216.92.29
Rashard Lewis57600.51-0.010.510.249-41314.814.00.7916.919.6-2.68
Dwight Howard74750.440.060.370.3532114.812.91.8817.917.40.49
JJ Redick54540.420.080.350.3332113.615.9-2.3318.317.01.31
Mickael Pietrus40420.370.130.240.196-1714.514.5-0.0718.617.11.51
Jameer Nelson19200.260.240.02-0.1213-82114.614.50.1517.917.80.18
Matt Barnes48480.130.37-0.240.16-16-714.514.50.0717.118.6-1.51
Vince Carter34360.080.42-0.350.0223-115.913.62.3317.018.3-1.31
Marcin Gortat14150.060.44-0.370.0023-112.914.8-1.8817.417.9-0.49
Ryan Anderson3130-0.010.51-0.510.11-49-1314.014.8-0.7919.616.92.68
Jason Williams3233-0.300.80-1.100.11-1419-3314.714.40.3316.218.7-2.52

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Wilcox1716-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-4317.617.8-0.2012.914.9-2.00
Austin Daye109-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-1-316.618.0-1.3612.914.7-1.81
Chucky Atkins2624-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-50-517.018.2-1.1913.514.9-1.39
Ben Wallace5655-0.25-0.250.00-0.19-2-3117.917.60.2615.313.22.13
Jonas Jerebko6261-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.17-3-2-117.817.9-0.1715.113.21.91
Tayshaun Prince7068-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.332-7918.017.01.0414.614.00.60
Rodney Stuckey6464-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.290-5518.217.01.1914.913.51.39
Jason Maxiell3130-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-61-716.918.3-1.4313.315.2-1.89
Ben Gordon4846-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.29-3-2-117.817.9-0.0913.715.5-1.80
Richard Hamilton6667-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.32-3-2-118.216.71.5614.913.11.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 83, DET 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.04,092.6%
CHI 114, GSW 1080.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.05,091.7%
SEA 105, MEM 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.08,091.6%