NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	4.7 [852]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +34.0%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	4.5 [125]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (BOS): -11.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.34	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.16	0.15	-0.03	22	66%	0.38	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	9	80%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	93%	0.12	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	79%	0.14	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	12	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	17	60%	0.20	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.06	15	68%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	64%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	38%	-0.06	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.5	33.4	21.6	26.2	3.0	32.2	146.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.6%

DAL +5.6%

DAL +4.1%

BOS -0.8%

DAL +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.3	111.2	100.0	106.0
season	15.2	15.5		107.2	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.7	17.7	13.7	20.1	16.7
BOS	14.3	15.8	16.9	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-6	21	16.5	18.0	-1.47	15.5	15.0	0.54
Shawn Marion	80	81	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-6	21	16.1	22.3	-6.26	15.8	12.3	3.49
Erick Dampier	44	43	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-6	21	14.7	18.6	-3.87	16.1	14.9	1.27
Dirk Nowitzki	83	85	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	16.5	19.0	-2.46	15.4	17.4	-2.04
Josh Howard	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	6	-3	16.6	17.0	-0.39	15.7	15.1	0.60
Jason Terry	50	51	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	13	-17	18.5	14.4	4.14	14.6	16.6	-2.05
James Singleton	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	3.0	16.9	-13.86	19.0	15.4	3.56
Drew Gooden	40	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	12	-15	18.4	15.3	3.07	15.1	15.8	-0.63
Jose Juan Barea	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	15	-21	18.0	16.5	1.47	15.0	15.5	-0.54

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	22	22	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-14	19	16.0	15.3	0.75	17.9	16.3	1.60
Henry Walker	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	19.0	15.4	3.56	3.0	16.9	-13.86
J.R. Giddens	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	19.0	15.4	3.56	3.0	16.9	-13.86
Eddie House	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-12	15	15.0	15.7	-0.71	20.0	14.8	5.18
Rasheed Wallace	67	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-6	3	15.1	16.6	-1.46	16.5	17.3	-0.75
Brian Scalabrine	15	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-6	3	16.0	15.4	0.63	19.0	16.3	2.68
Glen Davis	28	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	16.0	15.2	0.81	16.5	16.8	-0.24
Ray Allen	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	15.5	15.3	0.23	16.7	17.0	-0.33
Kendrick Perkins	65	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.7	14.8	0.88	16.2	18.1	-1.90
Paul Pierce	68	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	5	-19	15.3	15.9	-0.57	16.0	18.7	-2.68
Rajon Rondo	71	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.12	-15	6	-21	15.3	16.1	-0.80	16.1	18.8	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, POR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
PHI 117, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.1%
BKN 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%