NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	94		Excitement	5.2 [775]		MVP	CJ Watson (BKN): +26.3%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	4.8 [466]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -10.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.11	-0.00	7	89%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0.25	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.13	-0.03	14	68%	0.30	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.01	1	92%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	90%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	11	45%	-0.08
Deron Williams	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.19	0.03	0.09	13	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	88%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	58%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	39%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	13	38%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	30.5	14.8	27.2	2.0	40.0	138.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +27.0%

BKN +11.7%

BKN +10.5%

TOR -0.3%

BKN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.4	105.6	98.9	104.1
season	16.5	16.1		106.5	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.9	15.8	16.8	17.0	16.9
TOR	14.8	14.2	18.3	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	79	80	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-6	18	16.9	16.8	0.06	15.7	14.1	1.55
CJ Watson	45	45	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-3	12	16.2	17.6	-1.41	14.9	16.2	-1.29
Reggie Evans	60	59	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-4	14	17.6	15.3	2.34	16.5	13.6	2.82
Kris Humphries	36	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-1	8	16.1	17.4	-1.34	14.6	16.1	-1.45
Deron Williams	70	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	5	-4	16.7	17.3	-0.52	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Andray Blatche	58	59	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	8	-10	17.5	15.6	1.90	16.2	14.1	2.12
Keith Bogans	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	8	-10	16.3	17.1	-0.81	13.8	16.3	-2.51
Mirza Teletovic	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	5	-4	16.5	16.9	-0.35	15.0	15.6	-0.58
MarShon Brooks	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	14.0	17.3	-3.30	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Gerald Wallace	45	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.04	-4	10	-14	17.7	16.0	1.64	16.1	14.9	1.18

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	47	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-12	18	17.2	13.6	3.57	18.2	15.2	3.03
Jose Calderon	74	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-12	18	15.4	16.2	-0.84	16.8	17.0	-0.18
Jonas Valanciunas	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	2	-10	17.6	13.3	4.26	17.3	16.3	0.98
Aaron Gray	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	1	-8	13.6	16.7	-3.01	16.2	17.2	-0.97
DeMar DeRozan	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	15.4	16.3	-0.89	16.6	20.7	-4.09
John Lucas III	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	10	-26	13.9	16.8	-2.86	15.4	18.0	-2.66
Ed Davis	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.4	16.7	-1.24	16.8	18.2	-1.41
Terrence Ross	39	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	-2	-2	14.8	16.0	-1.17	17.4	16.4	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, HOU 71	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
TOR 101, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0	93.3%
DAL 99, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.0%