NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	117		Excitement	5.9 [639]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +24.1%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	4.1 [170]		LVP	Jalen Rose (NYK): -19.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	29	60%	0.35	4	-0.11	20	90%	0.09
Chris Webber	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17	0.16	0.04	0.03	23	63%	0.22	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	6	85%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
John Salmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.18	0	0.00	12	75%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	13	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.19	0.02	0.13	14	79%	0.18	4	-0.11	15	93%	0.07
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	62%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	12	29%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	30.6	17.4	31.4	2.3	39.5	149.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.8%

NYK -0.5%

NYK -10.6%

PHI +16.8%

PHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	15.6	123.2	117.9	104.4
season	15.2	15.7		104.1	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	14.8	16.2	13.0	14.3
NYK	16.0	14.6	18.1	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	45	41	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-7	19	12.6	15.8	-3.16	16.5	15.7	0.77
Allen Iverson	91	91	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	14.2	16.7	-2.60	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Chris Webber	87	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-2	9	14.8	8.7	6.02	15.8	18.4	-2.54
Andre Iguodala	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-1	7	14.4	13.9	0.46	16.2	15.6	0.53
John Salmons	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	1	3	15.3	13.4	1.91	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Kyle Korver	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	3	-1	12.8	15.4	-2.65	16.4	15.8	0.55
Matt Barnes	12	12	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	3	-1	10.7	14.8	-4.12	16.3	16.0	0.32
Michael Bradley	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	11.2	14.5	-3.31	12.7	16.3	-3.60
Samuel Dalembert	39	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.12	-5	10	-15	17.4	12.1	5.38	17.4	15.0	2.44
Shavlik Randolph	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	11.7	14.5	-2.87	18.1	15.8	2.27
Kevin Ollie	23	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	11	-17	14.8	14.1	0.69	14.1	16.7	-2.54

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	19	18	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-8	11	16.6	15.9	0.72	13.8	14.4	-0.53
Malik Rose	26	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	15.8	16.2	-0.39	16.4	13.5	2.95
Eddy Curry	67	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-6	7	16.1	16.0	0.13	15.1	12.1	3.01
Qyntel Woods	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-1	-3	16.5	15.9	0.52	12.7	14.7	-1.99
David Lee	27	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	2	-9	14.6	16.6	-1.99	11.7	15.1	-3.47
Nate Robinson	86	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.6	20.3	-4.73	14.3	13.5	0.83
Jalen Rose	75	76	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-3	1	15.8	16.9	-1.14	14.6	13.1	1.45
Jerome James	23	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	2	-9	18.2	15.4	2.80	13.4	14.6	-1.19
Maurice Taylor	53	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-4	3	16.1	16.0	0.01	13.8	14.9	-1.06
Jamal Crawford	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	16.5	14.3	2.12	14.4	13.8	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, POR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
ORL 93, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
HOU 88, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.1%