inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 93 Excitement5.8 [643] MVPAnthony Johnson (ORL): +16.4%
Atlanta Hawks 76 Comeback5.8 [120] LVPJamal Crawford (ATL): -13.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Johnson0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.080.051077%0.1600.002100%0.01
JJ Redick0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.00664%0.1000.00250%-0.02
Mickael Pietrus-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00736%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Dwight Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.03-0.021459%0.115-0.12944%-0.08
Matt Barnes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.011644%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Vince Carter-0.040,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.000.010.051851%0.053-0.09580%0.01
Jason Williams-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.000.03-0.042150%0.122-0.05250%-0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02933%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.010.04750%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.001145%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.140.00-0.021734%-0.024-0.09425%-0.04
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.001337%-0.072-0.061100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.23.530.320.524.43.432.8144.0
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +27.6%
ORL +10.2%
ORL +17.2%
ORL +1.3%
ATL -6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLATLNBAORLATLNBA
this game16.816.115.3106.986.4106.0
season15.416.0110.1109.4
opponent15.815.9106.0101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.117.515.318.416.8
ATL13.216.018.117.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard76750.470.030.440.061431116.915.91.0015.917.2-1.28
JJ Redick30320.410.090.320.06125715.317.6-2.3116.915.71.16
Anthony Johnson37380.390.110.28-0.021431116.916.70.2916.515.90.59
Ryan Anderson23230.320.180.140.14611-514.817.5-2.6618.315.42.88
Matt Barnes38400.240.26-0.02-0.0398117.616.11.5116.715.61.08
Rashard Lewis64650.180.32-0.14-0.14116517.514.82.6615.418.3-2.88
Vince Carter66650.180.32-0.14-0.0998117.115.71.4115.119.1-3.99
Mickael Pietrus40390.170.33-0.150.06413-916.517.0-0.4316.715.70.95
Jason Williams50500.110.39-0.280.02314-1116.716.9-0.2915.916.5-0.59
Marcin Gortat11130.030.47-0.44-0.06314-1115.916.9-1.0017.215.91.28

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith11100.00-0.500.500.03-1-161516.616.10.5716.216.9-0.66
Jeff Teague88-0.00-0.500.490.03-1-161515.716.2-0.4316.916.80.10
Mike Bibby5956-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-151316.315.80.5616.617.0-0.39
Zaza Pachulia2829-0.20-0.300.090.12-11-6-514.616.8-2.1917.416.41.00
Al Horford5957-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.10-6-11517.014.42.6216.716.9-0.13
Maurice Evans1719-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-9114.616.5-1.9216.017.0-1.00
Joe Johnson7775-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-10-7-316.215.50.6816.916.20.62
Marvin Williams5051-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-1-1516.515.70.8017.415.91.57
Jamal Crawford5957-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-2-1315.517.3-1.8016.417.5-1.05
Josh Smith7273-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.04-15-2-1316.315.21.1616.717.4-0.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 111, MIA 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,094.3%
PHI 104, POR 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.5%
CHI 109, CHA 970.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.3,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,093.3%