inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Brooklyn Nets 111 Excitement6.2 [591] MVPWayne Ellington (BKN): +25.6%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback8.1 [30] LVPGerald Green (MIA): -10.7%


Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.260.140.11-0.001868%0.292-0.04250%-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.01750%0.0700.004100%0.02
Thomas Robinson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.00283%0.0600.00250%-0.00
Jarrett Jack0.020,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.010.03872%0.103-0.079100%0.04
Willie Reed-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.00350%0.031-0.0420%-0.03
Thaddeus Young-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01761%0.032-0.04450%-0.02
Andrea Bargnani-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.00-0.020.01650%0.011-0.04475%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.080.01-0.03629%-0.002-0.03250%0.00
Brook Lopez-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.032447%0.012-0.06786%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.200.030.068100%0.242-0.06862%-0.03
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.031069%0.133-0.08667%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.010.041171%0.113-0.061283%0.02
Luol Deng0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.021358%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.00440%0.001-0.022100%0.02
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.010.011045%-0.003-0.0600%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.021129%-0.091-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.60.732.514.823.02.543.6143.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BKN +27.9%
MIA -0.4%
BKN +19.9%
BKN +1.6%
BKN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBKNMIANBABKNMIANBA
this game14.315.614.9114.4109.4105.1
season15.015.5101.9104.5
opponent15.114.8103.1109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BKN14.915.314.412.814.3
MIA15.814.719.912.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington63640.75-0.251.000.3115-92414.214.5-0.3316.613.53.09
Willie Reed24210.390.110.280.187-1815.214.01.2817.415.12.33
Thomas Robinson18170.350.150.190.118-21012.414.7-2.2617.515.22.32
Shane Larkin38390.270.230.04-0.0210-41412.115.7-3.6816.415.01.43
Joe Johnson73720.240.26-0.010.1342214.314.20.0514.917.7-2.81
Jarrett Jack66640.240.26-0.020.36-410-1414.214.4-0.1913.918.8-4.92
Thaddeus Young65630.230.27-0.040.35-410-1415.711.44.3515.615.6-0.02
Brook Lopez69710.110.39-0.280.0524-214.713.41.3115.615.30.33
Bojan Bogdanovic57560.020.48-0.470.19-612-1814.613.80.7515.216.1-0.88
Andrea Bargnani1213-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-28-1011.714.7-2.9915.615.60.06

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hassan Whiteside6265-0.14-0.360.21-0.11-1-5415.415.9-0.4515.312.23.18
Dwyane Wade6466-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-6613.719.2-5.5314.114.7-0.62
Chris Bosh7472-0.20-0.300.11-0.231-7814.918.0-3.1013.815.6-1.71
Goran Dragic6970-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-3014.717.7-2.9814.413.90.55
Luol Deng6063-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-82-1014.517.2-2.7013.914.9-1.00
Beno Udrih2727-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-3017.714.72.9813.914.4-0.55
Tyler Johnson3331-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.12-71-818.813.85.0114.714.10.62
Amar'e Stoudemire2726-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.20-5-1-418.614.44.2214.614.20.39
Gerald Green6465-0.570.07-0.65-0.46-4-2-216.414.02.3914.015.0-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 93, ATL 760.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,094.3%
DAL 100, LAC 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,093.3%
PHI 104, POR 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.0%