NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	5.7 [670]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +23.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	105		Comeback	1.1 [883]		LVP	Jon Brockman (SAC): -23.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.13,0.18	0.15	0.08	0.05	20	67%	0.22	3	-0.04	11	73%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.08	0.03	8	59%	0.10	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Donte Greene	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	0.01	-0.13	-0.00	7	67%	0.01	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.24	0.24	-0.05	0.23	-0.05	15	52%	0.29	4	-0.05	3	67%	0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	16	60%	0.14	0	0.00	15	87%	0.03
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.04	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	13	38%	-0.09	3	-0.12	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	31.9	15.0	29.2	2.7	34.2	141.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +24.1%

CHA +0.0%

SAC -7.0%

CHA +33.4%

SAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.3	108.4	110.5	106.0
season	15.2	16.2		103.7	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	18.1	12.9	13.6	14.5
CHA	14.0	14.6	17.9	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	8	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	16.4	14.3	2.05	17.2	15.7	1.55
Spencer Hawes	24	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-1	0	14.5	14.5	-0.05	14.0	16.5	-2.42
Hilton Armstrong	21	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	4	-10	17.2	13.7	3.52	14.8	16.1	-1.22
Jason Thompson	29	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	2	-6	15.8	13.9	1.87	15.8	15.8	-0.07
Omri Casspi	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	0	-2	14.4	14.6	-0.12	14.4	17.2	-2.85
Beno Udrih	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.52	9	-11	20	12.9	16.2	-3.21	16.3	15.3	0.97
Donte Greene	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.51	8	-10	18	13.7	15.9	-2.21	17.6	12.5	5.11
Tyreke Evans	80	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-8	14	14.7	13.5	1.22	15.9	15.6	0.24
Kevin Martin	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	16	-34	15.2	13.7	1.51	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Jon Brockman	60	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-6	10	13.9	15.5	-1.57	16.7	14.4	2.36
Andres Nocioni	46	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	4	-10	14.5	14.5	0.05	14.7	16.8	-2.10

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	87	88	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-9	20	15.4	20.9	-5.52	14.3	16.4	-2.09
Raymond Felton	80	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-9	20	15.0	20.3	-5.28	14.9	12.5	2.47
Derrick Brown	37	36	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	-6	14	14.4	16.7	-2.27	13.3	15.2	-1.96
Boris Diaw	75	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.46	-5	7	-12	16.3	14.1	2.12	14.0	16.5	-2.54
Ronald Murray	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	4	-6	16.1	15.5	0.67	15.3	13.6	1.76
Nazr Mohammed	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-6	14	13.3	17.7	-4.41	16.2	13.1	3.12
DeSagana Diop	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	22.0	15.3	6.75	16.9	14.3	2.60
Stephen Jackson	56	58	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.50	-16	18	-34	16.2	15.3	0.87	13.5	16.1	-2.60
D.J. Augustin	15	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	11	-20	20.3	15.0	5.28	12.5	14.9	-2.47
Stephen Graham	26	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	0	2	18.7	14.7	4.01	15.4	14.2	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.92,0.91,0.69,0.62,0.85,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	93.5%
POR 98, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,1	93.4%
SAS 77, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.95,1	93.3%