inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 94 Excitement7.7 [258] MVPJeff Green (OKC): +12.5%
Atlanta Hawks 91 Comeback1.3 [341] LVPJamal Crawford (ATL): -20.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.120.010.10-0.011348%0.151-0.02580%0.00
James Harden0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.05-0.021150%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Durant0.060,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.060.11-0.020.031857%0.101-0.041593%0.05
Nenad Krstic0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.011162%0.081-0.03450%-0.05
Thabo Sefolosha0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.023117%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Byron Mullens-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.07-0.00650%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.080.00520%-0.092-0.0800%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.10-0.01940%-0.093-0.082100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.050.021164%0.162-0.056100%0.07
Al Horford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.001250%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Mario West00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.01744%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06-0.060.06-0.100.031060%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02824%-0.041-0.0410%-0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12-0.12-0.00-0.100.012347%-0.101-0.023100%0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.21-0.21-0.08-0.14-0.011436%-0.172-0.03540%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.431.616.426.52.835.1143.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +56.6%
ATL -5.1%
OKC +9.5%
ATL -16.8%
OKC +5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCATLNBAOKCATLNBA
this game17.416.515.3109.3108.3106.0
season15.016.0106.2109.4
opponent15.815.5106.0103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.116.517.220.417.4
ATL18.213.516.318.616.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nenad Krstic68660.57-0.070.650.435-2717.317.9-0.6816.416.8-0.40
Thabo Sefolosha44430.56-0.060.620.396-3917.317.5-0.1415.917.1-1.24
Jeff Green67660.55-0.050.600.405-2718.114.93.1616.616.10.45
Russell Westbrook59570.410.090.320.294-1517.317.6-0.2716.117.2-1.06
Kevin Durant71690.350.150.200.3212-117.118.9-1.7715.819.5-3.74
Eric Maynor27270.090.41-0.320.12-14-517.617.30.2717.216.11.06
Serge Ibaka42410.020.48-0.460.05-14-517.317.5-0.2417.315.71.67
Byron Mullens10100.010.49-0.480.04-14-516.417.5-1.1417.516.31.18
James Harden4241-0.060.56-0.620.03-36-917.517.30.1417.115.91.24

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia28270.27-0.771.03-0.1213-162914.917.2-2.3618.317.01.30
Mario West16150.03-0.530.550.030-3311.217.7-6.4416.517.6-1.06
Joe Smith990.00-0.500.510.000-3316.816.40.3516.617.5-0.95
Jeff Teague77-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-3318.016.31.6815.917.5-1.69
Maurice Evans1616-0.15-0.350.210.09-85-1318.516.02.5112.618.5-5.88
Marvin Williams3638-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-30-316.216.7-0.5218.316.71.53
Jamal Crawford5051-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.374-71117.415.02.4117.816.80.98
Mike Bibby4951-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.401-4516.216.8-0.5817.816.81.02
Josh Smith7577-0.500.00-0.51-0.42-30-316.416.8-0.3517.516.60.95
Joe Johnson7880-0.530.03-0.55-0.44-30-316.614.22.4717.713.04.74
Al Horford5659-0.770.27-1.03-0.30-1613-2917.214.92.3617.018.3-1.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.22,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 106, MIL 1020.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.28,0.38,0.27,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.1,0.04,092.8%
TOR 95, ATL 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.04,092.6%
SAS 85, MIN 770.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.09,092.0%