NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	15.2 [1]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +31.1%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	4.0 [507]		LVP	Jonny Flynn (MIN): -51.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.02	0.15	-0.01	12	71%	0.54	5	-0.37	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.1	-0.02	0.13	0.00	26	47%	0.20	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	6	64%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.11	-0.01	18	39%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	10	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.00	-0.19	0.02	16	47%	-0.08	2	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Jonny Flynn	-0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.52	-0.12	-0.41	-0.01	13	32%	-0.40	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31	0.31	0.19	0.14	0.02	30	60%	0.34	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.09
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	13	47%	0.07	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.3,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	0.01	19	42%	0.02	4	-0.12	7	71%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	8	11%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.15	-0.02	15	40%	-0.15	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	30.2	16.5	25.8	2.0	34.8	1.6	10.3	1.7	16.9	2.6	20.0	188.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	2.0	39.8	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -40.7%

HOU +30.3%

MIN -1.2%

HOU +49.9%

HOU +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	15.3	90.5	97.6	106.0
season	14.7	15.0		100.1	106.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	15.9	11.2	15.0	16.9	14.9	14.7
HOU	12.3	16.0	15.6	16.6	17.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	42	39	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-13	20	14.2	14.9	-0.75	15.9	15.6	0.24
Sasha Pavlovic	29	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-8	10	11.9	15.5	-3.64	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Al Jefferson	100	94	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.50	13	-19	32	14.5	15.4	-0.95	16.5	13.1	3.41
Wayne Ellington	67	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.31	6	-12	18	14.9	14.4	0.42	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Damien Wilkins	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	1	-8	14.7	14.7	-0.01	14.5	16.5	-1.97
Kevin Love	65	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	7	-20	15.3	14.0	1.29	13.6	17.9	-4.25
Ryan Gomes	91	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-7	8	14.4	15.3	-0.94	16.4	14.0	2.36
Nathan Jawai	16	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	8	-22	17.9	14.2	3.75	12.8	16.2	-3.43
Corey Brewer	86	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	6	-18	14.9	14.2	0.68	17.0	12.9	4.11
Jonny Flynn	84	84	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	7	-20	14.9	14.2	0.75	15.6	15.9	-0.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	65	64	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.26	22	-16	38	14.7	16.9	-2.19	15.0	14.3	0.77
Shane Battier	97	98	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-13	32	16.2	14.0	2.21	14.8	14.2	0.54
Trevor Ariza	112	115	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-4	14	15.3	19.9	-4.61	14.7	14.3	0.43
Aaron Brooks	115	117	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-9	24	15.8	14.6	1.16	15.0	10.9	4.07
Charles Hayes	97	97	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-1	8	16.1	14.1	2.02	15.2	12.8	2.43
Carl Landry	70	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.31	-7	13	-20	16.5	14.7	1.77	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Chase Budinger	12	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	18	-30	16.2	15.7	0.51	10.7	15.1	-4.43
David Andersen	12	14	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.18	-13	19	-32	15.1	15.8	-0.69	12.4	14.9	-2.52
Kyle Lowry	35	40	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.12	-11	17	-28	14.7	16.1	-1.35	13.6	15.2	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.53,0.71,0.53,0.62,0.85,0.95,0.92,0.54,0.68,0.88,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.29,0.72,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.9,1,1	87.1%
CHI 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,1	86.7%
WAS 105, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.4,0.39,0.79,0.78,0.93,1	86.5%